Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea49f0969abc80cf7ddbc9d3435c81d3a63cc6b73ebf8d6420f59b0557cf188e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,048,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,250,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,048,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 56c | 909,453$507,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507,819.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 373,037$208,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,832.54 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 47c | 297,502$139,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,169.77 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 45c | 251,687$112,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,427.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 180,884$88,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,937.67 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 43c | 150,000$64,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,499.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 145,815$80,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,132.88 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 45c | 144,266$64,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,810.57 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 56c | 120,000$67,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,199.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked No | 46c | 114,552$52,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,858.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 55c | 99,999$54,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,809.64 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 95,208$43,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,132.01 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 45c | 92,650$42,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,584.9 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 44c | 90,500$40,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,318 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 44c | 72,400$31,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,543.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 58,148$26,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,143.65 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 47c | 55,488$26,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,348.27 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 45c | 51,524$23,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,499.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 41,327$18,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,043.22 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 40,794$18,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,571.93 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 45c | 36,799$16,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,419.23 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 32,353$15,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,701.47 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…73acbacked Yes | 32c | 31,339$9,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,918 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 30,802$14,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,357.21 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 57c | 29,605$16,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,875 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 54c | 26,756$14,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,563.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes | 55c | 25,751$14,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,162.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 56c | 25,114$13,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.82 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 44c | 25,000$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,949.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 23,130$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,779.7 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 56c | 20,448$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,450.75 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 44c | 18,888$8,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,671.63 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 54c | 18,493$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 54c | 18,384$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 44c | 18,280$8,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,237.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 46c | 17,407$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 15,983$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060.46 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed No | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.93 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 44c | 14,159$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,885.45 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 66c | 13,974$9,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,262.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…c05cbacked Yes | 53c | 13,534$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 62c | 12,912$8,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875.77 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 44c | 10,610$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,941.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 42c | 10,233$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.99 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 53c | 10,025$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.7 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.45 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed No | 47c | 9,820$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 45c | 9,317$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.35 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 45c | 9,188$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.42 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 46c | 9,080$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Yes | 57c | 8,859$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed No | 48c | 8,668$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 44c | 7,719$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.02 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 55c | 7,717$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked No | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 46c | 7,364$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.16 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 45c | 7,287$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 45c | 6,915$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 6,853$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.61 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 56c | 6,744$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.64 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Yes | 41c | 6,298$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 5,989$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.75 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 54c | 5,834$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.36 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 54c | 5,801$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 5,709$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.31 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…5e36backed Yes | 37c | 5,398$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 80c | 5,372$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.75 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 48c | 5,228$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 54c | 5,226$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.04 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 45c | 5,124$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 50c | 5,025$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.98 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 46c | 4,624$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.96 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 54c | 4,511$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.03 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 45c | 4,492$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.71 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,441$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.93 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 45c | 4,431$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…7d5ebacked Yes | 54c | 4,259$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 55c | 4,145$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 44c | 4,077$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.08 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 54c | 3,695$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 46c | 3,587$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked No | 44c | 3,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 17c | 3,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.