Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe986a6eb382842e20ef258af982525779d01a1d1a7d58700c42364da8c43e838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,516,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,571,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd820…19f6backed Yes | 55c | 716,173$391,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325,019.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed No | 78c | 233,406$181,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,600.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 45c | 184,349$83,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,863.72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 146,096$78,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,559.42 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 22c | 131,249$28,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,398.68 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 46c | 113,412$52,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,219.61 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 107,270$52,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,835.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 24c | 77,296$18,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,758.79 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 70,000$31,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,750 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 31,474$10,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,787.19 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 24c | 28,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,279.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 60c | 25,997$15,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,394.57 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed No | 76c | 19,631$14,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,919.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 34c | 17,293$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,413.17 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 42c | 16,228$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.71 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 12c | 14,803$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 76c | 13,813$10,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,497.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 11,985$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.26 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 9,728$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.07 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 9,611$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,496.22 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 75c | 9,599$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 9,374$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.24 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 23c | 7,826$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.09 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 64c | 6,342$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 79c | 4,904$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 4,590$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.44 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 45c | 4,110$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 22c | 4,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 48c | 3,615$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.69 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 3,545$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.27 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 53c | 3,351$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.8 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,050$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 11c | 2,999$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 59c | 2,935$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 22c | 2,793$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 2,790$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.4 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 47c | 2,784$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 2,274$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.62 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 47c | 2,268$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 76c | 2,224$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.39 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Yes | 22c | 2,182$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,182$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.81 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 1c | 1,787$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 71c | 1,743$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.44 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 1,606$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.3 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed No | 32c | 1,599$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 23c | 1,422$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.74 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,374$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.48 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 22c | 1,224$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.37 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 36c | 1,189$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 22c | 1,150$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,138$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.74 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…8bc9backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 38c | 1,094$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.71 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed No | 42c | 1,082$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 31c | 1,034$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.68 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 1,007$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.79 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed No | 78c | 1,000$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 25c | 985.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 939.54$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.14 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 23c | 928.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 45c | 925.11$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 24c | 918.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.92 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes | 22c | 913.64$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 897.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes | 23c | 888.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 22c | 825.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 18c | 806.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 804.35$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.35 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…4c94backed No | 79c | 780$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 20c | 747.62$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 16c | 741.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 67c | 741.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.24 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 38c | 655.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed No | 45c | 653.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 651.36$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 55c | 618.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 76c | 611$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 595.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 592.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 553.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.65 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 23c | 534.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.78 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 39c | 528.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.