TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aston Villa FCof Aston Villa FC, West Ham United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,717 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC23c12,096$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Aston Villa FC30c5,989$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.0617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC56c5,185$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked West Ham United FC70c4,725$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Aston Villa FC53c3,940$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.74641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Aston Villa FC32c2,194$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked West Ham United FC70c2,194$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.232,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked West Ham United FC68c1,868$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.0751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Aston Villa FC30c1,065$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9512136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Aston Villa FC51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.572748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed West Ham United FC72c920.69$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Aston Villa FC30c844.49$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Aston Villa FC47c571.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.164235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked West Ham United FC70c552.42$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.052055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Aston Villa FC28c500$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Aston Villa FC47c380.85$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.853847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Aston Villa FC27c366.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.641625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Aston Villa FC30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed West Ham United FC12c281.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed West Ham United FC73c240.68$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758259.8%49 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed West Ham United FC68c235$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Aston Villa FC39c220$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed West Ham United FC73c189.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.32240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC43c186.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.771,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x446a…af10backed West Ham United FC56c178.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed West Ham United FC9c161.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed West Ham United FC13c158.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Aston Villa FC26c158.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Aston Villa FC32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2511736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Aston Villa FC32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2511839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b44…5e90backed West Ham United FC73c150.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Aston Villa FC30c137.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4616454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked West Ham United FC74c136.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7211248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Aston Villa FC30c125.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5810949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Aston Villa FC31c122.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5811229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed West Ham United FC34c117.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.474845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed West Ham United FC69c115.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.852050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Aston Villa FC31c101.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Aston Villa FC46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed West Ham United FC51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Aston Villa FC52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Aston Villa FC53c93.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.516543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Aston Villa FC50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Aston Villa FC30c85.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.682871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked West Ham United FC72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Aston Villa FC38c67.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked West Ham United FC27c63.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed West Ham United FC57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Aston Villa FC30c59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.014440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Aston Villa FC48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked West Ham United FC48c54.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.243450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Aston Villa FC31c50.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.591330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Aston Villa FC34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.153540%14 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819d…8d4cbacked Aston Villa FC32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…d023backed West Ham United FC70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Aston Villa FC31c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed West Ham United FC71c47.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Aston Villa FC47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Aston Villa FC25c40.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed West Ham United FC75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b0…16a0backed Aston Villa FC31c39.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacff…4176backed West Ham United FC70c39.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56159%36 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked West Ham United FC52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf0…82b4backed Aston Villa FC53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked West Ham United FC51c37.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.236554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f60…257cbacked West Ham United FC70c37.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Aston Villa FC31c36.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed West Ham United FC66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.113054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed West Ham United FC70c33.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.371,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f6…2c1ebacked West Ham United FC74c32.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86060%36 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e0…9586backed West Ham United FC70c32.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.56055%33 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked West Ham United FC70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6115534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dff…d2d1backed West Ham United FC70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b47…2448backed West Ham United FC70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…30b6backed West Ham United FC70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…ce65backed West Ham United FC70c27.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56258.1%36 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa096…31d6backed West Ham United FC70c27.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed West Ham United FC69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2515955.3%88 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed West Ham United FC68c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked West Ham United FC72c24.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed West Ham United FC74c22.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa906…ff14backed West Ham United FC70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156258.1%36 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed West Ham United FC70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed West Ham United FC72c19.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.915044%22 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43e5…118cbacked West Ham United FC70c19.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56055%33 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed West Ham United FC57c17.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.055052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Aston Villa FC75c16.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed West Ham United FC72c15.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed West Ham United FC67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.057263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.