TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,900 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Under45c129,994$58,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,496.596857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over55c40,091$22,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,050.113661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over55c28,466$15,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,548.87753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c25,843$12,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,621.626,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over55c24,851$13,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,668.285257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over55c20,081$11,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,044.548146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over53c14,000$7,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4204841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Over57c13,869$7,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,838.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over55c11,997$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.5213444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c10,477$4,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.4751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under44c9,365$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.238649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under48c9,360$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.811560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c9,070$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,988.3475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over42c8,900$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.998153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over55c7,764$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2705560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c5,177$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.281,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c4,939$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under69c4,373$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over55c3,999$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.6318362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c3,422$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.974,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6802763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over55c2,400$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over54c2,090$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.4216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,904$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.531,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8806550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over56c1,494$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.0915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over55c1,416$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6716651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Under47c1,142$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under53c1,105$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c623.49$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.929550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over55c581.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c519.18$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.931,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under64c486.29$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.291353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over43c476$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c452$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.168953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c375$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c365.57$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.725444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c291$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2511753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c274.48$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over15c262$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under45c257.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7839052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under80c256.25$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.253056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Under46c238.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c230.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.671,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c223.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c218.3$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over56c215$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.44854.2%26 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x149b…ab96backed Under47c185$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…7703backed Under47c184$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…7fcbbacked Over53c183.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over55c183$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e4…b107backed Under47c182$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f5…9b9abacked Over53c179.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…c6fabacked Over53c179.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…2378backed Under47c179$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c4…059fbacked Over53c178.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c178.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Over56c178.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0a…5a43backed Under47c178$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5a…c2d2backed Over53c177.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…a32cbacked Under47c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x105d…8aa9backed Under47c173$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…896dbacked Over53c171.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52a…f2c4backed Over53c171.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd196…8b9bbacked Under47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…43f0backed Over53c169.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a9…55eebacked Over53c169.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87f…3a78backed Over53c168.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…1b62backed Under47c168$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f71…2d67backed Over53c167.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2679…0a81backed Under47c166$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…3311backed Under47c166$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…0391backed Under46c166$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ba…0315backed Under47c166$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.