TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under48c29,375$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,274.763369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over52c29,136$15,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,150.721020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c24,817$11,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,904.676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c11,842$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over51c9,415$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.562774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c4,722$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.8785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c4,505$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.324,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over40c3,716$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.06425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c3,083$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over49c2,954$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.394358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over21c2,666$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.778236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c2,541$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over48c2,530$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.45527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c2,466$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.0715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over50c2,315$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.188345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.198048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over48c1,623$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.865145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,621$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,384$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.452,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Over51c1,332$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.422951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over49c1,107$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.623948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under51c999.95$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under69c959.76$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.282,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under77c722.88$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.263237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over34c685.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.83938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2916160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over53c550.06$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.531942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c538.35$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under49c524.78$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over13c463.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1214055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c452.11$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c442.26$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over3c437.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2218842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over49c413.28$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.511414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under50c407.4$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.78953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under51c382.9$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.069352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Over53c373.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over12c370.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.611,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over49c343.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.83650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under51c325.15$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3211449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Under50c285.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c282.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over47c282.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.916357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c278.61$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under48c277.79$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c275.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8523556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under77c271.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.719345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over51c266.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.886142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c230.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under57c229.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8411555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over21c226.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.636541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under74c226.53$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c222.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over12c206.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.918851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c206.19$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under74c195.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Over17c193.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.834022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.064057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under53c188.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.437439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c188.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.391,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.185139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over51c181.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.574238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c175.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over53c172.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3512647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c172.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over49c164.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7413748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under70c153.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c151.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0816757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.55349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under78c147.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over54c145.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6d…039bbacked Over51c137.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over11c135.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8719356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.947038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over45c130.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.466432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over49c126.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9311652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over35c125.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.142030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over28c125.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9831849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c116.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.816053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d7…552cbacked Under51c116.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c116.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under48c111.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf0…dbd1backed Over53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under48c109.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9410848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over17c108.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.