Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba64af3c2a93e44c143f4fdb87b483891192cabe1c860dc8c0125d37eec0b6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Sunderland AFC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC | 2c | 795$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…cd5cbacked Sunderland AFC | 6c | 762$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…af92backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 752$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…107abacked Sunderland AFC | 6c | 715$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…3368backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 715$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…5c78backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 714$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…3614backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 672$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…98b9backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 660$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…2ba5backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 656$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Sunderland AFC | 5c | 485.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…4741backed Sunderland AFC | 5c | 388$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 4c | 290.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sunderland AFC | 5c | 247.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…3b18backed Sunderland AFC | 6c | 243.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.