TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74d0…de45backed Under36c10,048$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,384.844540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c7,082$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c6,769$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.1876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c6,250$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.993735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over49c6,129$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.965527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over65c5,620$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Over41c4,967$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c4,151$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Under54c2,233$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c1,675$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c1,395$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.42,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c1,329$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.1274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over77c1,281$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c1,171$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.322,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.114138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c816.75$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3611753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under60c810.36$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.311555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…3399backed Over77c680.21$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.76540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under60c652.08$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3723556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c604.49$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4731849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c601.03$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.231,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c577.58$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.542373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over72c544.65$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over31c533.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.272030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Over75c526.68$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-79.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c495.71$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under60c489.27$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.730057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c482.85$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under46c476.93$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.354531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.583246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over64c420.06$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.093956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under59c404$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over24c381.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.623357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over59c368.01$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under53c352$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.444143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under23c352$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over47c348.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.924139%16 W · 25 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over76c346.26$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.164555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over40c343$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.23938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over57c340.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.344245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over60c333.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2330059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over42c327.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.546535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under54c310.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.051643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…687abacked Over44c289.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over35c285.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c279.54$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1574156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under61c263.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6116757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over47c256.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.546541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under25c250$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under19c213.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over48c201.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.894057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7319244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over77c197.24$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.872828.6%8 W · 20 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under54c181.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.477037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under25c177.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.951,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under27c177.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.268858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over77c164.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.39455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.665271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac63…5083backed Over48c155.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Over31c154.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.932944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over50c151.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.37263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under43c150.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.140821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over47c149.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5241260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over55c140.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over30c139.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.54833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over66c133.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1910454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5615560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.622281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over61c124.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1411…081bbacked Over42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c112.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c105.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6373258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.412714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over45c100.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.988763.2%55 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb329…62cebacked Over56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.043278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…df94backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5114351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under25c94.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.741,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over50c91.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.533650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over47c89.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8328859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over47c89.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8324052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over47c89.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8312561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over46c85.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.169352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c84.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.