Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa690ef2e53c72890da599cfbd54040e05513632c593913a9e1b960b70b380f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16c | 6,006$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.49 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…95fdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 2,854$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sunderland AFC | 77c | 1,677$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…f788backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 556.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 508.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 9c | 325.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 167.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…a69fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 143.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 102.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16c | 100.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 79.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 77.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 76.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 75.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.