TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Esportsof Gen.G Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Gen.G Esports26c24,947$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,358.67236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Paper Rex74c24,608$18,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,176.6128955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex2c16,760$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.746418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Gen.G Esports27c13,033$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,54054751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Gen.G Esports55c12,202$6,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,44060022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Gen.G Esports26c8,400$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+116%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x095b…78b4backed Paper Rex75c5,910$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Paper Rex64c5,642$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Gen.G Esports30c4,779$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.76747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Gen.G Esports26c4,570$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.7726050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex74c4,236$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.8478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Paper Rex75c4,224$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.2733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Gen.G Esports26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96026738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00d…fdebbacked Paper Rex74c3,993$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Gen.G Esports26c3,970$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.5513345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Gen.G Esports26c3,961$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.85580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+120.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gen.G Esports27c3,505$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.4815850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Gen.G Esports26c3,333$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Paper Rex59c2,800$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.3825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gen.G Esports36c2,428$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.6845033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1617…d480backed Paper Rex3c2,191$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Paper Rex69c2,018$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Paper Rex50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Paper Rex74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9616952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Gen.G Esports49c1,932$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.3519157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paper Rex48c1,913$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.5146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Gen.G Esports26c1,890$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.2512138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9b…11f7backed Gen.G Esports26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+72.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Paper Rex74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex68c1,323$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.7243059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Paper Rex67c1,296$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6441537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Gen.G Esports26c1,289$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.01580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+133%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gen.G Esports48c1,225$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.821,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Gen.G Esports25c1,200$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8941637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Gen.G Esports50c1,119$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.816953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Gen.G Esports46c1,103$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf940…8701backed Paper Rex62c1,093$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Paper Rex57c1,029$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2423644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Paper Rex55c1,005$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Gen.G Esports26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Gen.G Esports26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Gen.G Esports52c999.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex35c980.6$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Gen.G Esports30c966.61$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaab…43a7backed Gen.G Esports53c956.06$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Gen.G Esports26c948.95$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2215843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex65c910.79$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9234857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G Esports25c888$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Gen.G Esports61c879.87$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5225336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Paper Rex75c858.2$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5621257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Gen.G Esports26c848.57$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.9429733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Paper Rex61c837.36$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0942540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex75c788$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59125555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Paper Rex44c778.17$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6914533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa903…bcd2backed Gen.G Esports26c735.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.962263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Paper Rex71c720.4$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4910551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G Esports49c679.34$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.31,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Paper Rex59c670.38$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.174245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Paper Rex59c657.23$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9816442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Paper Rex61c647.55$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.417448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Paper Rex74c635.62$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3234253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…dd8abacked Paper Rex13c632.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Gen.G Esports50c630.37$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.35451.9%28 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Gen.G Esports46c625.63$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.288950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0901…f1c5backed Paper Rex74c624.9$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.431540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Paper Rex62c619.04$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4218056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30614645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed Paper Rex75c587.22$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4119257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Paper Rex74c581.88$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5928541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G Esports43c577.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Gen.G Esports26c550$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4073345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gen.G Esports44c544.92$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Gen.G Esports37c524.64$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2436138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Paper Rex56c519.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.126446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Gen.G Esports26c510$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Paper Rex19c505.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3635331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex51c502.43$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2442840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Gen.G Esports26c501.82$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.354818.8%9 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Gen.G Esports26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Paper Rex68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gen.G Esports25c499.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9913642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Paper Rex67c474.41$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gen.G Esports40c471.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.141,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Paper Rex47c464.93$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4130835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Paper Rex14c459.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Gen.G Esports39c458.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Paper Rex23c454.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.314027.5%11 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Gen.G Esports25c444$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Paper Rex75c439.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.986450%32 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Paper Rex33c434.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.177433.8%25 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Gen.G Esports50c410.79$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Gen.G Esports29c407.72$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.485158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabc…fbe0backed Paper Rex34c407.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Paper Rex75c396.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.734650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Gen.G Esports26c394.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Gen.G Esports27c379.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.945156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9547…9dcfbacked Paper Rex63c360$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Gen.G Esports36c359$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2726634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Paper Rex64c358.88$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.25050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.