Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c4ec9c7d18bf2645201399be27b94a1c798dc25f35a13fdff36fc2c3507fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,314 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 38,467$22,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,904.64 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 11,688$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.09 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 8,103$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.64 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 70c | 7,152$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 15c | 6,851$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 30c | 6,733$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 6,331$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.86 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…d914backed Under | 32c | 5,971$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…b107backed Over | 68c | 5,931$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 5,250$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 34c | 5,120$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 33c | 4,999$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 4,903$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.16 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 4,294$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.45 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 71c | 3,279$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 2,885$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.68 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 77c | 2,620$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.54 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 69c | 2,317$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.51 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 9c | 2,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 35c | 1,934$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.07 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 69c | 1,893$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.94 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Over | 69c | 1,884$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…2dbcbacked Over | 55c | 1,821$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 46c | 1,731$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.45 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 68c | 1,461$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 35c | 1,420$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 69c | 1,275$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 1,025$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 51c | 1,017$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 1,016$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 34c | 999.91$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…10afbacked Over | 39c | 976.06$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 960.53$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 61c | 928.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 13c | 899.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 31c | 893.85$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 780.18$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 11c | 772.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Over | 69c | 725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3a39backed Over | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 29c | 679.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 69c | 664$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.12 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 30c | 662.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 31c | 610.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 28c | 602.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Under | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 21c | 596.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 45c | 543.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 498.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 31c | 497.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.23 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 37c | 479.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Under | 44c | 453.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 31c | 410.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 379.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 32c | 367.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Over | 69c | 349.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…16d3backed Under | 33c | 346.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 68c | 339.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Under | 60c | 315.03$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 303.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 31c | 298.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 68c | 294.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 51c | 293$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 69c | 289.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 70c | 285.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 50c | 283$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.71 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 39c | 271.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 31c | 258.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 249.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 242.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 223.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bd53backed Over | 70c | 206.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…77e2backed Under | 74c | 202.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.