TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,710 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c20,892$9,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,597.666657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c18,620$11,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,867.271,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Under54c18,611$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,611.396048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under55c7,500$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c6,221$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.5226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.721546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over48c4,196$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over48c3,620$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.733464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over36c3,375$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.164020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over48c2,394$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.962528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over34c2,221$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.261816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c2,200$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Over48c2,072$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.315252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c1,432$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.471747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over34c1,391$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.347625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under52c1,203$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.2619755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b40…6573backed Under52c1,189$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over48c1,160$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over48c1,119$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5353625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c1,028$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under52c961.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.522254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c860.45$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.83551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Under52c857.5$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c833.81$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.122330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over13c698.64$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6715438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over48c625.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under52c618.16$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7218160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under52c616.01$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.688146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Under64c606.72$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28213349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Under53c568.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under59c563.97$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c561.98$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.133754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006735.8%24 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c555.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over41c500$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.843161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Under56c499.96$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over47c485.54$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.448038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over48c479.17$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c475.97$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7626445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over10c475.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.881822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c449.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2147954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over5c425.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2815038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under73c411.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2310249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c401.29$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19214645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.765123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick36cpaid+84.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c374$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.089748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c373$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5820644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c341.43$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c313.97$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0540250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over19c310$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over48c309.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.761338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over34c299.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.33164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under63c278.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.336940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under54c242.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over45c239$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6612344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under53c236.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under53c236.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.221040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Under79c232.16$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Under66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Under53c225.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over48c210.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.073444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0a…a693backed Over48c208.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c202.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.027051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.096536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under54c198.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.815538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over48c185.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3123947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c178.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under56c176.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.696741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…baf7backed Under67c171.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…34d2backed Under55c170.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.531145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over48c162.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under51c157$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9324047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.