Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c22876d94267f2aa90449d6c977238fced1bebeee02b2f797971d49f577386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,710 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 20,892$9,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,597.66 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 18,620$11,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,867.27 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 54c | 18,611$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.39 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 55c | 7,500$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 6,221$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.52 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 48c | 4,196$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 48c | 3,620$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.73 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 3,375$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.16 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 48c | 2,394$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 34c | 2,221$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Over | 48c | 2,072$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 1,432$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 34c | 1,391$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.34 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 52c | 1,203$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.26 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…6573backed Under | 52c | 1,189$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 48c | 1,119$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 1,028$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 52c | 961.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 48c | 860.45$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Under | 52c | 857.5$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 48c | 833.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 698.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 48c | 625.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 618.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 616.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…1f9dbacked Under | 64c | 606.72$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 53c | 568.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 59c | 563.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 53c | 561.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 36c | 555.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Under | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 47c | 485.54$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 475.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 10c | 475.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 449.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 5c | 425.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 411.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 401.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 36cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 374$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 373$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 341.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 313.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 19c | 310$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 48c | 309.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 34c | 299.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 63c | 278.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 54c | 242.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 45c | 239$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 53c | 236.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 53c | 236.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Under | 79c | 232.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…eb17backed Under | 53c | 225.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 48c | 210.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…a693backed Over | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 202.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 54c | 198.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 178.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 56c | 176.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…baf7backed Under | 67c | 171.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed Under | 55c | 170.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 48c | 162.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.