La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a25e9ba86be047879e4fcd888cd03273aba1315f94d06a1cbd0d66d539b49da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 9,250$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Over | 74c | 6,666$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…8179backed Over | 77c | 4,111$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 2,050$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 11c | 1,011$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.91 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 14c | 999$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.14 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 510.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 470$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 3c | 364.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 364.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 77c | 263.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 76c | 197.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…23c3backed Over | 14c | 187.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 67c | 147.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 11c | 140.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 114.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 33c | 90.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 23c | 89.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 77c | 46.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 36c | 34.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.