La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98a391a17ddf0760a3e27e819a0222594188147e692c51a6c85bfd5cce893fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,898 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 79c | 2,521$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 2,506$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,263$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.69 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 1,008$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.49 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 10c | 599.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 22c | 344.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 50c | 308.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 256.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 187.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 11c | 136.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…4c21backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 39c | 108.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 53c | 83.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 20c | 70.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 63.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Under | 64c | 62.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 67c | 49.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Under | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.