La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15d15261b7b0d0ee6d086e975fad4b1fc2e91fa44e56249a023bf690aac8325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 70c | 4,251$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.44 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 1,508$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.18 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 955.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 937.07$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 12c | 396.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 31c | 354.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 29c | 281.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 31c | 207.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 31c | 177.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 162.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…b087backed Over | 71c | 92.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 69c | 91.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 91.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Over | 71c | 49.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 68c | 36.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 31c | 36.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…ee94backed Over | 71c | 30.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 71c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…4dfcbacked Over | 71c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.