La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e460f49da678826fd2b57311ae247793bcd89fb59b246102d59f4e1c15d1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,743$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 3,713$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.04 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 1,575$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.33 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 57c | 1,229$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.48 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 58c | 641.42$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 532.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 44c | 511.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.71 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 437.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 429.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 41c | 375.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 328.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 285.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Under | 17c | 285.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 273.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 44c | 258.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 225.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 135.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 11c | 120.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 113.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 60c | 101.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 40c | 92.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 85.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 70.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 57c | 64.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 68c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Over | 70c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 28.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 43c | 27.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 55c | 21.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 65c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.