Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68a4e9bbc53f5cdce3a33c23a8394bc02b4f5e3833703ec8636c6b260ba5ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 55c | 25,293$13,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,312.45 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 45c | 17,981$8,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,104.53 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 43c | 17,934$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,741.58 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Under | 57c | 14,257$8,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.37 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 3,248$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.12 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 2,739$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a78…4353backed Under | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Under | 57c | 2,282$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…a09ebacked Over | 44c | 2,279$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 42c | 2,271$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 34c | 1,711$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.96 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 65c | 1,623$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…44e6backed Under | 72c | 1,383$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.88 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Under | 56c | 1,102$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 57c | 881.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.68 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…8939backed Under | 56c | 842$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 44c | 841.55$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 60c | 835.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…2200backed Over | 45c | 835.18$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 57c | 833.22$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 72c | 596.59$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 39c | 500$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 56c | 471.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Under | 64c | 470.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 28c | 443.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 54c | 339.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…add0backed Over | 55c | 330$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Over | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Under | 57c | 242.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 45c | 229$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Over | 44c | 211.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 208.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 76c | 196.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked Under | 57c | 183.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 56c | 180.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 59c | 179.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked Over | 43c | 163.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 56c | 154$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Over | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Under | 68c | 147.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Over | 69c | 145.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 61c | 141$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 35c | 139.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Under | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…45a1backed Under | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 33c | 134.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Under | 58c | 133.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…ed19backed Under | 58c | 130.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…ec99backed Over | 44c | 123.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Under | 65c | 119.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 42c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Over | 42c | 101.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 45c | 100.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 56c | 99.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Under | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Under | 56c | 88.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 57c | 88.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634b…363bbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…4d41backed Under | 62c | 82.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Under | 57c | 80.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 42c | 72.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 56c | 71.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…da51backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.