TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60dd…ec99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.84
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.65
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.68
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$201.5
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$71.35
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$31.64
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+151%+$93.25
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$139.61
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.9
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$18.57
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$98.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$127.5
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$738.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$489.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$711.08
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$130
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$484.55
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$71.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+168.7%+$146.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,904Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$1,630.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.