Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e65017249bb546582f91108f410ecb3b68619f55708c2b2bbc2ff3f9cca5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8c2…c9c4backed No | 80c | 89,019$71,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,803.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…807ebacked Yes | 20c | 89,003$17,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 7,979$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.94 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 76c | 6,874$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.77 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,385$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 77c | 5,862$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 23c | 5,308$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 71c | 4,644$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,582$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,731$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 21c | 3,606$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.91 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,831$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 24c | 2,743$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,446$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,963$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed No | 74c | 1,962$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 17c | 1,900$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 71c | 1,740$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 36c | 1,737$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,691$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 78c | 1,627$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.71 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 79c | 1,564$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,483$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed Yes | 20c | 1,482$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…042dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,467$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 70c | 1,450$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 17c | 1,396$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 23c | 1,354$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed No | 76c | 1,329$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…7122backed No | 76c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 32c | 1,267$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.57 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 71c | 1,249$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Yes | 18c | 1,245$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 79c | 1,003$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…b519backed No | 79c | 999.99$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 28c | 977.54$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 6c | 973.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 35c | 940.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 36c | 919.87$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…a15fbacked Yes | 24c | 912.16$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 27c | 900.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 898.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 74c | 850$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed No | 75c | 824.53$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…8f72backed No | 80c | 805.91$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…154bbacked No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…de06backed Yes | 24c | 799.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 6c | 782.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 19c | 781.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 78c | 745.82$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…0df5backed Yes | 26c | 727.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 30c | 700$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.06 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 15c | 686.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 20c | 649.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 76c | 562.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 23c | 541.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 19c | 521.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 520.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed No | 71c | 508.78$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 18c | 499.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645f…c917backed Yes | 30c | 493.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f8…d38dbacked Yes | 22c | 476.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 71c | 464.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 25c | 459.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 21c | 436.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…5aacbacked Yes | 29c | 432.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 17c | 432.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…9db5backed Yes | 27c | 418.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…3957backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…7d74backed Yes | 22c | 388.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed Yes | 26c | 381.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…7062backed Yes | 30c | 377.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 23c | 374.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Yes | 20c | 360$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 76c | 311$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 79c | 308.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…002bbacked Yes | 22c | 307.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 25c | 307$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0145backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…17bdbacked No | 67c | 299.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 77c | 299$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…8cfebacked Yes | 34c | 295.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 17c | 277.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…e03cbacked Yes | 24c | 266.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…4bfcbacked No | 67c | 264.18$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 22c | 260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 20c | 259.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…5f03backed Yes | 39c | 257.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked Yes | 34c | 253.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.