Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993442ebb2009d4f949930b62158269202f3d4793e6ecf7f5d323a2308bfea81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $797,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 26,988$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.53 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…6d4ebacked Yes | 6c | 24,055$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 2c | 20,731$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 7c | 17,850$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.07 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 6c | 15,098$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…0f89backed Yes | 4c | 14,500$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 13,018$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 12,025$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.32 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 4c | 12,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.63 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…0849backed Yes | 3c | 11,894$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…17b2backed Yes | 4c | 11,782$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 6c | 10,777$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.69 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 2c | 10,338$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 5c | 10,001$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.05 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…8d3ebacked Yes | 7c | 9,278$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1912backed Yes | 6c | 6,109$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 6,071$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 6c | 5,541$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.82 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,929$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…8766backed Yes | 5c | 4,758$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 1c | 4,652$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…b1babacked Yes | 6c | 4,554$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…98b2backed Yes | 5c | 3,646$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…d1f6backed Yes | 1c | 3,392$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,361$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 0c | 3,323$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 2c | 3,187$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…62d6backed Yes | 5c | 3,156$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…acacbacked Yes | 5c | 3,068$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,942$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…9fc4backed Yes | 5c | 2,848$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…0e17backed Yes | 5c | 2,560$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 4c | 2,410$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…2801backed Yes | 1c | 2,402$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 2,331$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,246$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,217$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…c31cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,146$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8a5ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 2,114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…7adebacked Yes | 5c | 2,061$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 5c | 2,044$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…4ae8backed Yes | 2c | 1,973$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…8f1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,902$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 2c | 1,897$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…14afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,836$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…4ea6backed Yes | 6c | 1,745$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…56f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,725$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 1,720$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…f463backed Yes | 6c | 1,649$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 5c | 1,411$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…4aa8backed Yes | 6c | 1,262$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf9…a4a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,191$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…b9fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…8bf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…05adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,095$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 5c | 1,071$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,036$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…ec2fbacked Yes | 5c | 997.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…5703backed Yes | 5c | 964.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 948.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…30a3backed Yes | 5c | 946.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 7c | 939.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…aaddbacked Yes | 6c | 881.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 5c | 867.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c69…1019backed Yes | 6c | 848.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…b8e4backed Yes | 7c | 838.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 4c | 830.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…490bbacked Yes | 5c | 821.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes | 5c | 806.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 5c | 802.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 6c | 801.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 5c | 786.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…77bfbacked Yes | 5c | 737.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 6c | 717.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…fdcbbacked Yes | 4c | 698.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 4c | 653$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…9ae5backed Yes | 8c | 650.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…ec99backed Yes | 5c | 649.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 5c | 618.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…1bd1backed Yes | 7c | 600$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 5c | 594.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…66d3backed Yes | 3c | 587.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked Yes | 7c | 560$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 6c | 548.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…dfb5backed Yes | 6c | 527.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…9bb6backed Yes | 6c | 525.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6dd8backed Yes | 6c | 521.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.