Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32513a8bab0959f7755c2f372632c4a07f092f4c1f090f7f0b0d59191a0a31e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 3c | 15,012$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 10,766$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 20c | 5,696$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.48 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 3c | 5,409$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 10c | 4,207$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 4,195$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 53c | 3,302$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.79 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 12c | 2,651$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 7c | 2,548$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,487$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 19c | 2,412$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 28c | 2,351$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 3c | 2,296$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 79c | 2,236$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.03 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 21c | 2,088$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 44c | 2,063$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.41 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 5c | 2,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 12c | 1,928$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 28c | 1,633$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.66 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed No | 69c | 1,538$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,397$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…3f88backed No | 73c | 1,167$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,121$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…01c3backed Yes | 5c | 1,102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,089$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.14 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 21c | 1,045$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 22c | 1,001$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 15c | 1,001$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…de7ebacked Yes | 12c | 999.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 6c | 958.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 9c | 918.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 71c | 915.94$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 43c | 915.91$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 74c | 911.28$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…2e57backed No | 78c | 885$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 844.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 836.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 14c | 816.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 2c | 779.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 8c | 740$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…7b5ebacked No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 7c | 735.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 65c | 529.93$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 4c | 529.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 40c | 499$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 2c | 460$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 67c | 451.67$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 444.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 420.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 66c | 420$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…a532backed Yes | 3c | 401.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed Yes | 15c | 390$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 37c | 385.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 30c | 333.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…9e58backed No | 66c | 301.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 22c | 294$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 288.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 71c | 248.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed Yes | 28c | 242.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 8c | 238.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 49c | 226.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 51c | 225.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 7c | 221.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 41c | 212$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…6963backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 55c | 204.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…c116backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…850abacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 191.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…cefdbacked Yes | 34c | 165.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…b4d2backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…96ffbacked Yes | 53c | 139.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…17babacked Yes | 61c | 135.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 42c | 134.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 23c | 120.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 37c | 118.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked No | 23c | 104.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…fcc2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 61c | 91.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 72c | 91.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.