Serie A · resolved market
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b07e957981a04e688191208a4fc8b8349a93d6de03eba460fda38e647dafa5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,547,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,534,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,547,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6143…c6dabacked No | 57c | 105,127$59,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,922.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8805…90eabacked Yes | 43c | 105,127$45,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,922.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dc…5104backed No | 69c | 90,876$62,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,704.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…09c8backed Yes | 31c | 90,873$28,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,702.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…05a7backed Yes | 31c | 44,653$13,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,810.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf1…8428backed No | 69c | 44,653$30,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,810.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 42,992$15,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,183.39 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 37,811$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 62c | 33,720$20,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,898.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 48c | 29,096$14,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,037.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 7c | 27,033$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked No | 34c | 25,136$8,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,656.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611e…df31backed No | 5c | 21,161$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 57c | 20,699$11,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,822.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked No | 63c | 20,376$12,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,760.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 41c | 18,395$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,892.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…78a4backed No | 60c | 18,247$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 40c | 16,075$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 54c | 15,568$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked No | 11c | 14,858$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 60c | 13,120$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 52c | 12,863$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed No | 63c | 11,839$7,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,428.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked No | 58c | 11,475$6,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed No | 0c | 11,031$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…3b8cbacked No | 0c | 10,434$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed Yes | 34c | 10,423$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 8c | 10,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 34c | 10,080$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 56c | 9,579$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 43c | 9,123$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…7c32backed No | 67c | 8,871$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 38c | 8,784$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 19c | 8,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 8,191$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…f5e6backed Yes | 38c | 7,182$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 58c | 6,671$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 36c | 6,287$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 25c | 6,250$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 6,000$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 43c | 5,944$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,884$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 41c | 5,505$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 78c | 5,329$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…e319backed Yes | 46c | 5,217$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 44c | 5,211$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 61c | 5,202$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 42c | 5,201$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 39c | 5,022$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…7086backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 52c | 4,896$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 34c | 4,653$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…2882backed No | 5c | 4,414$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 35c | 4,337$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 34c | 4,156$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 55c | 3,975$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 57c | 3,784$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked No | 60c | 3,722$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 44c | 3,608$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 58c | 3,552$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 58c | 3,490$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 47c | 3,483$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed No | 55c | 3,300$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…08b5backed Yes | 42c | 3,162$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…2332backed No | 68c | 2,952$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 58c | 2,951$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 31c | 2,948$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…f59ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,839$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 59c | 2,676$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 41c | 2,625$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,600$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 38c | 2,555$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 44c | 2,366$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 59c | 2,247$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…ed51backed Yes | 39c | 2,240$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 44c | 2,216$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 54c | 2,192$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 40c | 2,014$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 59c | 1,881$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed No | 59c | 1,854$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…48c8backed No | 20c | 1,798$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 57c | 1,781$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed No | 69c | 1,721$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 52c | 1,700$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 34c | 1,700$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 20c | 1,691$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 63c | 1,652$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…27b3backed Yes | 37c | 1,642$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 40c | 1,618$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 49c | 1,577$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…99a4backed No | 59c | 1,424$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.