Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e47408f8ab39b46a9d9e3c9b15ebd62f1d795eb072ff46df3d376c09eb583e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,688,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,407,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,688,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9a…0a63backed No | 0c | 5,090,000$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…43fdbacked No | 0c | 1,500,000$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…6fddbacked No | 0c | 766,362$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…ca1dbacked No | 0c | 529,331$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…5137backed No | 0c | 503,360$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 0c | 452,607$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 425,412$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.41 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…7cb7backed No | 0c | 422,412$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…52efbacked No | 0c | 382,345$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…9685backed No | 0c | 345,130$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…97efbacked No | 0c | 312,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…a264backed No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed No | 0c | 295,219$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…8266backed No | 0c | 210,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…7db5backed No | 0c | 200,700$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…b9f8backed No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 0c | 174,702$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…8841backed No | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…c577backed No | 0c | 140,060$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked No | 0c | 139,684$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…e93ebacked No | 0c | 123,450$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…99adbacked No | 0c | 122,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed No | 0c | 116,500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed No | 0c | 114,335$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…3d9fbacked No | 5c | 110,650$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…4a6fbacked No | 0c | 110,239$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…0f55backed No | 0c | 104,175$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked No | 0c | 102,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…8216backed No | 0c | 100,425$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…bee3backed No | 0c | 100,380$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…6497backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 19c | 94,143$17,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,959.05 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 69c | 93,433$64,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,860.33 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…6489backed No | 0c | 88,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…a8fcbacked Yes | 58c | 85,100$49,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,742 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…cc4dbacked No | 42c | 85,100$35,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…407dbacked No | 0c | 84,445$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…cfdfbacked No | 0c | 82,540$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe359…4515backed No | 1c | 81,582$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…66e8backed No | 1c | 80,045$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…cbeebacked No | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…2080backed No | 0c | 79,820$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 0c | 77,986$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…085abacked No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…1039backed No | 0c | 72,399$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…8550backed No | 0c | 71,605$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc175…9233backed No | 0c | 69,320$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…4ccfbacked No | 0c | 65,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 1c | 60,071$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.01 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…1dc3backed No | 5c | 56,128$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.47 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed No | 0c | 55,760$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…1244backed No | 1c | 55,099$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked No | 1c | 55,037$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…9a40backed No | 0c | 54,195$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…3279backed No | 0c | 52,995$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…1175backed No | 0c | 51,930$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…3165backed No | 0c | 51,483$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…04c1backed No | 0c | 51,380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…0e5ebacked No | 0c | 50,920$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…c8ddbacked No | 1c | 50,588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…7602backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 1c | 49,827$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…c67fbacked No | 0c | 49,550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 3c | 49,394$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.81 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…cb2bbacked No | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 0c | 48,640$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…8b68backed No | 0c | 47,990$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…0652backed No | 0c | 47,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed No | 0c | 46,407$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…d026backed No | 0c | 44,900$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked No | 1c | 42,443$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…5675backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 0c | 40,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…2ebabacked No | 0c | 39,955$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…2894backed No | 0c | 39,855$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…88a9backed No | 0c | 39,540$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 11c | 38,922$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…4d9dbacked No | 0c | 38,370$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…ed23backed No | 0c | 38,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…8c5dbacked No | 3c | 35,943$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked No | 3c | 34,546$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…93a1backed No | 0c | 32,235$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…12dabacked No | 0c | 32,040$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…2244backed No | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +532.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked No | 0c | 30,687$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…5931backed No | 1c | 30,617$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked No | 0c | 30,234$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…4585backed No | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed No | 0c | 29,455$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…026ebacked No | 0c | 29,187$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed No | 0c | 28,206$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…1181backed No | 0c | 26,922$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…fa83backed No | 4c | 26,793$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…2ad2backed No | 0c | 26,340$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…3f74backed No | 0c | 26,052$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…459fbacked No | 0c | 24,780$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed No | 1c | 22,971$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.