Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07555b0e89abe017ddde72e5d04f26f6b26a7f221cca5fcae54ca99dd984774d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,643,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,498,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,643,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea40…05a7backed No | 43c | 114,816$49,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,445.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…8707backed Yes | 57c | 114,816$65,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,445.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…f71abacked No | 80c | 103,056$82,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,689.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 65c | 97,811$63,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,367.85 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…b587backed Yes | 55c | 86,837$47,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,760.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…623dbacked No | 45c | 86,800$39,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,740 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 38,442$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.43 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 27c | 31,567$8,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.62 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed Yes | 17c | 30,466$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 62c | 29,085$18,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,978.13 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 11c | 27,990$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 52c | 22,248$11,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,718.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -89%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 35c | 19,333$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.44 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 19,175$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.08 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 35c | 16,671$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.39 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 14c | 16,600$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 48c | 16,572$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 15,685$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.85 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 19c | 15,290$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 31c | 12,173$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.49 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 7c | 10,941$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 4c | 10,774$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked No | 55c | 10,148$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.44 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…cbb7backed Yes | 2c | 10,115$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…0b52backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 77c | 9,774$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed Yes | 28c | 9,677$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…6c8ebacked Yes | 20c | 9,482$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 76c | 9,045$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 17c | 8,851$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.06 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Yes | 63c | 8,324$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…d2bdbacked Yes | 8c | 8,171$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 48c | 7,806$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 52c | 7,210$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…1220backed Yes | 5c | 6,676$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 9c | 6,417$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 16c | 6,308$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 7c | 6,132$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 33c | 5,859$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.84 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,490$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,369$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 11c | 5,277$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed Yes | 32c | 5,080$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8c20backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 13c | 4,954$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 75c | 4,655$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 9c | 4,515$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.82 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…afdebacked Yes | 40c | 4,412$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…4f37backed Yes | 23c | 4,287$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 34c | 4,199$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,980$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,913$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…77e0backed Yes | 11c | 3,777$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 9c | 3,565$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 19c | 3,443$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed Yes | 28c | 3,321$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…4faabacked Yes | 25c | 3,219$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,206$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…b2d2backed Yes | 5c | 3,203$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed Yes | 29c | 3,197$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…cb51backed Yes | 1c | 3,157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…4ecfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,079$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…b85abacked Yes | 21c | 3,028$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,880$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,824$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 36c | 2,808$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 23c | 2,787$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…14f0backed No | 63c | 2,715$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Yes | 19c | 2,694$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 2,691$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 22c | 2,548$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,482$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 18c | 2,462$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 32c | 2,420$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 1c | 2,396$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 63c | 2,385$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,328$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…cfe0backed Yes | 43c | 2,323$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 22c | 2,276$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…77e4backed Yes | 11c | 2,224$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…d820backed Yes | 2c | 2,117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 17c | 2,091$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.29 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 51c | 2,078$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,065$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 32c | 2,052$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…7879backed Yes | 15c | 2,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 63c | 1,993$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.51 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,953$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 50c | 1,947$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 10c | 1,908$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 1,854$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.14 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 30c | 1,822$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.