TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c7…b576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$53.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$45.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$370.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58%+$202.53
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92%+$47.93
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$50.38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.91
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$111.07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$86.85
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$42.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$62.09
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.1
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$186.69
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$58.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,901Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$5,999.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$44.1
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.91
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.31
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.78
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$43.1
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$202.79
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$667.86
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.5%+$57.03
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.18
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.84
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+216.8%+$73
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.88
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$108.55
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.5
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$164.5
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+175.7%+$95.6
Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will PAS win by less than 4% of the vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$15.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+249.7%+$28.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$28.1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$36.2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,006.39
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.42
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.2%+$112.75
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$408.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+77.1%+$146.88
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+188.6%+$128.8
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+280.4%+$228.5
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+77%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$509.11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$456.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.