AI · resolved market
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0beaaf25d4df0a4fbbdda991db8a67a00315a417024f66850a7b94465b125a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…2f52backed No | 0c | 57,988$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 0c | 13,410$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 32c | 11,175$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 9c | 9,347$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.74 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 79c | 7,568$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 69c | 7,283$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 72c | 7,081$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.29 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90a…d094backed No | 29c | 6,770$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 0c | 6,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 1c | 5,370$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 44c | 4,899$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 27c | 4,428$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked No | 8c | 4,071$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…16ccbacked Yes | 20c | 3,874$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 27c | 3,333$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 27c | 3,250$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 78c | 3,158$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 29c | 2,994$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 4c | 2,816$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,673$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…e985backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 40c | 2,269$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 33c | 2,209$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed No | 23c | 2,011$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 76c | 1,997$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 26c | 1,981$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 78c | 1,914$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 12c | 1,893$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…5015backed Yes | 31c | 1,764$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 73c | 1,752$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 39c | 1,677$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 79c | 1,578$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…14c3backed No | 72c | 1,576$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 13c | 1,525$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,522$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 49c | 1,454$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.16 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…5204backed Yes | 17c | 1,454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 16c | 1,407$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.35 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 22c | 1,350$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +361%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,341$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 71c | 1,302$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 49c | 1,282$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 43c | 1,279$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 25c | 1,257$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…f036backed Yes | 24c | 1,245$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 1,199$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.81 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,157$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 78c | 1,132$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 29c | 1,095$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 77c | 1,088$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 74c | 1,081$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 61c | 1,071$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,068$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…f328backed Yes | 29c | 1,058$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 24c | 1,056$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…4dc6backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…20cabacked Yes | 26c | 958.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 934.1$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 34c | 924.86$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 70c | 900$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +757.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…4e5bbacked No | 24c | 845.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 72c | 705.02$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 33c | 696.31$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 18c | 689$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.65 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 683.77$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 75c | 659.66$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 31c | 645.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 29c | 629.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 25c | 600$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 27c | 599.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 35c | 596$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 49c | 553.7$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 29c | 551$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.08 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…1ad5backed Yes | 28c | 538.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +335.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed No | 4c | 531.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 33c | 520.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…70d5backed No | 22c | 506.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 500.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.94 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…57c2backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 72c | 499.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 76c | 457.63$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 7c | 450.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…53a3backed Yes | 32c | 447.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 26c | 439.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.