World Politics · resolved market
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45551525a86c6ca1fb7909ee9087ef08207647446d2290892a88b44587aaf522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 22c | 6,876$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.06 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 58c | 5,850$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 2c | 4,771$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 62c | 4,493$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.94 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342e…7e88backed No | 71c | 4,416$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 64c | 4,150$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.34 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 30c | 3,835$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.77 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e83…44babacked No | 70c | 3,577$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,333$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.44 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 12c | 3,325$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 62c | 3,300$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.98 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed No | 74c | 3,119$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…5f2bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,796$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 9c | 1,948$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…e440backed No | 69c | 1,884$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 59c | 1,828$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.24 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…7b71backed No | 67c | 1,787$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 35c | 1,709$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 3c | 1,589$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 1,461$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.61 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed No | 68c | 1,392$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 31c | 1,375$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.54 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 3c | 1,374$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 33c | 1,374$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 69c | 1,372$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed No | 71c | 1,240$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.74 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 1,236$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.38 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 26c | 1,132$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.11 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed No | 41c | 1,066$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…6978backed Yes | 39c | 1,033$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 62c | 999.99$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 1c | 950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Yes | 29c | 879.85$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…5309backed No | 3c | 850.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3047…6f8cbacked Yes | 44c | 795.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…5eabbacked No | 3c | 715.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…6f6cbacked No | 6c | 683.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…243bbacked Yes | 34c | 650.73$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…bd62backed Yes | 37c | 620.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 59c | 614$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.1 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…2943backed Yes | 36c | 552.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed Yes | 33c | 526.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…fa51backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…2b89backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 458.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.15 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 39c | 446.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…9e86backed No | 15c | 437.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 33c | 433.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 48c | 409.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…2ad2backed Yes | 37c | 393.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 62c | 391.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 6c | 389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…879ebacked No | 3c | 382.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…5e22backed Yes | 59c | 380.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 18c | 370.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…a693backed Yes | 35c | 365.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 62c | 355.32$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 33c | 346.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 31c | 345.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 68c | 340.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -78%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…e4debacked Yes | 55c | 338.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…35f4backed Yes | 58c | 338.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 31c | 333$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6bdbbacked Yes | 34c | 330.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…0d5abacked Yes | 34c | 328.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…8dd4backed Yes | 35c | 325.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 58c | 308.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…a344backed No | 74c | 302.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…2e3fbacked Yes | 37c | 301.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x575c…7281backed No | 7c | 299.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…b5fcbacked No | 12c | 297.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…eb2cbacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…1312backed Yes | 44c | 277.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 75c | 275.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4c…8909backed Yes | 36c | 275.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 264.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…35f8backed Yes | 61c | 264.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes | 20c | 258.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…4c37backed Yes | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…c428backed Yes | 39c | 230.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…4915backed Yes | 36c | 228.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…55d6backed Yes | 77c | 224.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 29c | 215.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 47c | 202.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…bc5bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…0eccbacked No | 77c | 196$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…71acbacked Yes | 30c | 182.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…d077backed Yes | 35c | 174.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 168$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed No | 45c | 161.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…e22bbacked Yes | 32c | 158.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.