Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807ba575f84169bdb061dd05da3e8eb314a129aa152e31518c2aff9979d5f986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,180,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,111,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,180,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 26c | 233,130$61,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,361.04 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…a126backed No | 73c | 118,865$87,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,706.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 28c | 90,801$25,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,010.76 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 69,429$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.51 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 10c | 35,804$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.24 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 30c | 27,154$8,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,165.55 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…88eebacked No | 66c | 25,505$16,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,727.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 37c | 24,500$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050.33 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 25c | 19,999$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.42 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…d741backed No | 70c | 18,634$12,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,663.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 35c | 18,000$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357.45 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 59c | 17,496$10,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.53 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 76c | 17,067$13,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked Yes | 9c | 16,168$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.44 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,540$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 29c | 14,699$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.97 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 31c | 13,986$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.01 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 23c | 11,300$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.96 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…caedbacked Yes | 18c | 10,349$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.71 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 15c | 10,034$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 22c | 9,359$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.82 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…bc90backed Yes | 14c | 9,292$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -84%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 61c | 9,259$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.67 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…aabfbacked No | 62c | 9,196$5,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 25c | 9,195$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.86 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 8,738$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.68 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 30c | 8,696$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.03 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 75c | 8,517$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.87 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 32c | 8,278$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.97 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed No | 56c | 8,149$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 71c | 8,094$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 22c | 8,091$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.22 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 64c | 7,845$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.06 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 18c | 7,570$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.45 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…cf02backed Yes | 10c | 6,974$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 15c | 6,364$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.33 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 6c | 6,335$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…966bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,287$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…b1f1backed Yes | 41c | 6,080$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 34c | 6,000$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.02 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…6c1dbacked No | 70c | 5,894$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…479cbacked No | 72c | 5,775$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 17c | 5,705$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.8 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b1d8backed Yes | 14c | 5,568$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 39c | 5,537$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 70c | 5,432$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.44 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…8b11backed No | 76c | 5,300$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 76c | 5,276$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.75 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 5,246$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.81 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 4,731$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,520$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…1cd0backed Yes | 31c | 4,476$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,417$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed No | 69c | 4,351$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 4,346$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 66c | 4,318$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.71 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed No | 79c | 4,098$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +447.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked No | 61c | 4,058$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 6c | 4,051$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed No | 75c | 3,978$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 6c | 3,859$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 22c | 3,792$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.66 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 3,754$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.62 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,714$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 3,699$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.15 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b8…6ddebacked Yes | 13c | 3,638$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0188backed No | 64c | 3,535$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Yes | 26c | 3,500$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,391$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.37 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…a68abacked No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.42 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 76c | 3,299$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.84 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,288$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed No | 69c | 3,280$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 59c | 3,233$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.87 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 6c | 3,190$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 60c | 3,160$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 3,107$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.45 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f80…2184backed No | 79c | 3,093$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked No | 72c | 3,075$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…bb43backed No | 71c | 3,066$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,025$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.67 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…5436backed No | 71c | 2,965$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 2,926$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…828fbacked No | 70c | 2,870$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…a31abacked No | 72c | 2,869$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…07d4backed Yes | 2c | 2,671$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…356cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,601$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked Yes | 18c | 2,590$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 28c | 2,546$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.94 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 31c | 2,545$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…ab3ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6bfebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 2,433$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 17c | 2,431$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,396$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…20a4backed No | 78c | 2,381$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 26c | 2,346$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.17 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…3534backed No | 61c | 2,328$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?this page
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No won
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.