Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6468c95a0308394330bf55ae21835c8a341bf7efaeb697964ea5f9107972da2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 47c | 16,066$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.51 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 43c | 12,822$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.62 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…966bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,662$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 61c | 7,443$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.29 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 38c | 6,862$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.87 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…5238backed Yes | 14c | 6,315$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,058$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.96 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed No | 30c | 3,776$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.81 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…79f4backed Yes | 3c | 3,653$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 11c | 3,500$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…828fbacked No | 59c | 3,362$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 39c | 3,059$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.8 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,031$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…bb6dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,830$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed No | 44c | 2,574$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.96 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d7…3b2dbacked No | 79c | 2,538$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 17c | 2,503$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 65c | 2,469$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.02 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,408$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,406$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 22c | 2,333$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,999$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.89 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 52c | 1,913$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 34c | 1,810$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.7 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 64c | 1,750$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.83 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 78c | 1,664$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.11 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,645$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 42c | 1,630$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.3 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,590$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.62 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…ee64backed No | 63c | 1,581$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…49cebacked No | 32c | 1,562$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 78c | 1,553$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 21c | 1,547$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…efd6backed Yes | 69c | 1,527$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.2wins | -0.43per pick | 52cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 39c | 1,479$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 1,419$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.08 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,340$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 19c | 1,317$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…5c4ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,306$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 1,300$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.77 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 1,283$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.89 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 46c | 1,236$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.54 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 36c | 1,212$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…8107backed Yes | 49c | 1,185$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…6040backed Yes | 2c | 1,184$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 37c | 1,176$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.62 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 53c | 1,083$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +79%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 50c | 1,061$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.77 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 65c | 999.96$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.97 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 45c | 999.95$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 991.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 77c | 968.08$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 75c | 928.64$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 36c | 896.7$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729f…aa22backed No | 68c | 880.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 33c | 879.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x725e…9fc7backed No | 61c | 849.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 18c | 845.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 835.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 79c | 799.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 35c | 750$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 46c | 745$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.23 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 62c | 744.38$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed Yes | 19c | 727.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Yes | 22c | 699.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 73c | 684.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 4c | 651.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 50c | 649.91$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 78c | 641.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…97cabacked No | 64c | 634.38$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 54c | 619.96$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 613.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…48c6backed No | 75c | 600.65$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 37c | 599.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…4d29backed Yes | 51c | 592.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 51c | 576.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…5357backed No | 64c | 560$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…5421backed Yes | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 73c | 540.29$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 35c | 510$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…600cbacked Yes | 20c | 509.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 26c | 496.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 490.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 481.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe543…ecd4backed Yes | 45c | 473.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 67c | 452.83$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 33c | 447.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 47c | 444.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked No | 80c | 444$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…34eebacked Yes | 3c | 442$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…3206backed No | 68c | 440.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?this page
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.