Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60726a45cd436184484829eba1159b06f55cc0f83249dfc655702766d158e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 79c | 7,281$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.54 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 10c | 5,773$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.94 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 23c | 5,094$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.91 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 75c | 3,929$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.48 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 35c | 2,549$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.02 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,193$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 44c | 2,162$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.97 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 33c | 2,161$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.2 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 45c | 1,832$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 55c | 1,775$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 10c | 1,392$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,351$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 52c | 1,150$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 48c | 1,139$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.63 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 905.21$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.57 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…a875backed Yes | 5c | 855.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 812.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 699.6$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 66c | 557.03$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 46c | 547.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 11c | 541.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed No | 47c | 540$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 60c | 500$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 53c | 494.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 52c | 446.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 53c | 429.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 3c | 384.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 44c | 362.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 50c | 350.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 14c | 346.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 30c | 337.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 56c | 303.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6051backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 9c | 293.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 35c | 287.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 39c | 257.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 50c | 217.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 28c | 215.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…9fabbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…2d04backed No | 51c | 194.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…30abbacked No | 52c | 188.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 32c | 185.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 54c | 180.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 58c | 171.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 58c | 151$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…df3fbacked Yes | 70c | 142.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 49c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 56c | 101.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…4accbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…21debacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 56c | 88.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 14c | 80.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 62c | 77.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…3612backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 16c | 73.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked No | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…b6a3backed No | 72c | 69.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 40c | 64.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 30c | 60.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…73bebacked Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…e882backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8bc8backed No | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 54.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked Yes | 46c | 51.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…12b9backed No | 28c | 51.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…20a6backed No | 57c | 44.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 58c | 43.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 54c | 40.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…766cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…c221backed No | 33c | 35.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…61edbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…150cbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…a80fbacked No | 53c | 29.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0845backed No | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…7fb8backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…675fbacked No | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed No | 56c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…14b0backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…263fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.