Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c5d3fa06ad4df64a719c8f28a088dd965c2c0c46477f4edcd1ba138c7a8b81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 6c | 31,918$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…2138backed Yes | 12c | 31,349$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 4c | 21,687$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.28 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 10,420$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…8644backed Yes | 4c | 10,402$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 11c | 7,605$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 12c | 6,914$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e72cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,892$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 3c | 6,852$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…1867backed Yes | 6c | 6,520$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 4c | 6,410$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…7f61backed Yes | 4c | 5,914$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…49e4backed Yes | 5c | 4,841$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…9601backed Yes | 10c | 4,749$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 11c | 4,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,195$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.76 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 4,005$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…0d6ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 4c | 3,967$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 15c | 3,380$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…142fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,245$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 3,128$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…4610backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…a1cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,896$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +586.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,817$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,710$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 8c | 2,443$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 9c | 2,343$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.69 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,212$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…8b0ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 3c | 2,078$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…9375backed Yes | 3c | 2,023$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,983$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 15c | 1,799$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1912backed Yes | 3c | 1,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…b6abbacked Yes | 6c | 1,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 1c | 1,670$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,592$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…e0aabacked Yes | 5c | 1,567$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Yes | 6c | 1,436$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…97efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,352$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 12c | 1,290$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…c623backed Yes | 9c | 1,053$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 1,012$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -89%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346b…d70fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…c5a2backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 16c | 895.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 891$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 876.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…d2b2backed Yes | 11c | 839.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 736.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked Yes | 3c | 718.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607e…4011backed Yes | 14c | 703.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…642fbacked Yes | 15c | 700.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…cd8dbacked Yes | 7c | 687.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 2c | 670$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 626.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 626.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…9879backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 12c | 599.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ff…6476backed Yes | 17c | 592.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…6816backed Yes | 3c | 583.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…11bcbacked Yes | 3c | 549.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 2c | 541.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed Yes | 17c | 538.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes | 19c | 533$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Yes | 16c | 527.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 10c | 526$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1106…ffa0backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 12c | 463.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…afd5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Yes | 3c | 422.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a1…5e31backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 402.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 4c | 394.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c69…1019backed Yes | 12c | 380$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 12c | 369.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 7c | 322.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 11c | 320$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…da3fbacked Yes | 11c | 311.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…e09dbacked Yes | 4c | 311.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +384.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…c228backed Yes | 6c | 270.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f838backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…b7b9backed Yes | 18c | 235.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e1f7backed Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 219.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed Yes | 18c | 217.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.