Ukraine · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96ea9e84838780b0b6291119f47683be0cd48911cc3adf394a898ff0210b8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 14c | 202,838$27,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,970.05 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 2c | 26,889$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 79c | 23,040$18,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.49 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked No | 22c | 19,241$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.33 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 7c | 15,000$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 79c | 13,323$10,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…e60ebacked No | 1c | 12,960$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 72c | 10,252$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 17c | 8,522$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 79c | 8,116$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 23c | 6,503$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…5503backed Yes | 76c | 5,968$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.52 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 5,157$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 7c | 5,147$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 2c | 4,437$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 2c | 4,378$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 7c | 4,377$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…d9c1backed No | 13c | 4,186$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 78c | 3,873$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.12 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 78c | 2,835$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.03 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked No | 5c | 2,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 7c | 2,436$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,230$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 0c | 2,190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 80c | 2,141$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.87 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 74c | 1,858$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 4c | 1,688$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed Yes | 79c | 1,553$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 17c | 1,550$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 2c | 1,526$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 1,518$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,443$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe03…394dbacked No | 14c | 1,224$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…4c80backed No | 2c | 1,127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 80c | 1,083$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…30d3backed No | 9c | 1,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Yes | 76c | 1,064$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 2c | 1,035$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…a16abacked No | 20c | 986.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…18cdbacked No | 21c | 969.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…2a7ebacked No | 6c | 960$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 11c | 956.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 8c | 920$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 896.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 77c | 870$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 2c | 845.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 74c | 813.01$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed No | 22c | 811.82$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 74c | 777$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 3c | 769.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 3c | 754.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…b405backed No | 16c | 733.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked Yes | 77c | 725.27$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…8f0dbacked No | 3c | 604$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 590.84$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 18c | 563.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…304ebacked No | 4c | 557.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…0965backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd8…bdd5backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 73c | 486.43$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked No | 10c | 485.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed Yes | 78c | 481.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…8433backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 71c | 462.83$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed No | 7c | 457.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed No | 19c | 456$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed No | 5c | 436.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…15a7backed Yes | 75c | 426.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…af19backed No | 22c | 411.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 74c | 404.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…75eebacked No | 7c | 401$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed No | 8c | 384.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked No | 27c | 366.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 78c | 363.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 21c | 360$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a0f2backed No | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…996bbacked No | 14c | 353$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 26c | 342.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked No | 16c | 338$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 75c | 330$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…d94fbacked No | 10c | 322$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…3aedbacked No | 6c | 317.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 71c | 297$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…39d8backed No | 5c | 293.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…15d9backed No | 7c | 286.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 77c | 283$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.