Ukraine · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9febe1bab42376a758541f4e445bc5acd7c10e4e4e57b46b7fc86d0faaa4acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $898,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1913…b494backed No | 1c | 452,710$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 20c | 78,876$15,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,465.66 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 27c | 15,233$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…51ecbacked No | 4c | 12,145$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 6c | 7,864$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 4c | 7,137$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…70fdbacked No | 0c | 6,668$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 16c | 6,173$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.53 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…21c2backed No | 3c | 5,396$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked No | 19c | 5,346$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…fbc0backed No | 4c | 4,913$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…92f0backed No | 3c | 4,604$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 4,112$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 9c | 3,800$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d9cbbacked No | 5c | 3,792$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…9962backed No | 27c | 3,654$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 71c | 3,459$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 69c | 3,400$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2de…e6fbbacked No | 1c | 3,381$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 17c | 3,287$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed Yes | 73c | 3,218$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 3,195$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 3,180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…a8d6backed Yes | 74c | 2,884$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed No | 16c | 2,867$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed Yes | 79c | 2,816$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 23c | 2,746$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…b704backed Yes | 70c | 2,740$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 25c | 2,725$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,579$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,509$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked No | 4c | 2,474$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…4f44backed Yes | 66c | 2,435$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed Yes | 74c | 2,191$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 4c | 2,127$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,032$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…6986backed No | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes | 79c | 1,955$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 5c | 1,859$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,836$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 1,560$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 4c | 1,545$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…e60ebacked No | 3c | 1,469$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 15c | 1,413$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,407$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 20c | 1,400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…c857backed No | 4c | 1,398$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed Yes | 79c | 1,359$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 74c | 1,315$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.72 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,300$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…44febacked No | 1c | 1,262$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 2c | 1,260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed Yes | 74c | 1,258$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 3c | 1,249$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,200$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…f78ebacked No | 23c | 1,075$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 6c | 1,061$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 26c | 1,054$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 61c | 999.81$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed Yes | 75c | 942.23$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 30c | 887.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 74c | 837.29$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 4c | 790$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes | 71c | 788.47$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…4c80backed No | 3c | 729.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 73c | 718.7$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…3ccebacked Yes | 70c | 693$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 10c | 692.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 72c | 666$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…0cadbacked Yes | 64c | 637.58$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 14c | 630.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 69c | 625.03$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed Yes | 75c | 578.57$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 76c | 571.43$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…851fbacked No | 18c | 563.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 71c | 550$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 68c | 550$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked No | 8c | 532.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 8c | 508.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…57c2backed Yes | 69c | 507.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed Yes | 74c | 505.47$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed No | 3c | 505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 76c | 504$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…f1c7backed Yes | 70c | 502.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…1528backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed Yes | 72c | 496.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked Yes | 67c | 495.82$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 18c | 487.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 33c | 487.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…2752backed No | 14c | 480.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf181…3c1fbacked Yes | 71c | 478.29$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 78c | 469.28$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 22c | 462.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.