World Politics · resolved market
Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d363ca58961aaf691878c929740b5ad4d90ca09a77f8e7d2adeb022f534efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 6c | 4,353$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 7c | 2,305$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 5c | 2,138$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 11c | 2,128$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 1c | 2,104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 2c | 1,362$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 9c | 993.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 5c | 975.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…f5f0backed No | 13c | 754.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 7c | 699.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 8c | 631.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 631.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…2edcbacked No | 16c | 610.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed No | 3c | 459.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 9c | 327.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 12c | 265.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed No | 14c | 184.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 11c | 150.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 10c | 109.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?this page
- Will Alternative Bloc (PA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Coalition for Unity and Welfare (CUB) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Democracy at Home (DA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Our Party (PN) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Respect Moldova Movement (MRM) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Together (BeÎ) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.