World Politics · resolved market
Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b9b33787692abed2a43c31f9dac13172560523d970584d9f922679decdad87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9dd…4c37backed Yes | 8c | 8,298$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…377dbacked Yes | 13c | 5,880$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 1,386$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 65c | 386.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…8433backed Yes | 79c | 253.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…e69cbacked Yes | 41c | 221.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…8d6bbacked Yes | 19c | 215.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…df6fbacked Yes | 20c | 151.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 61c | 135.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 30c | 86.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…be4dbacked Yes | 26c | 77.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 69.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 53.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 29c | 37.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?this page
- Will Alternative Bloc (PA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Coalition for Unity and Welfare (CUB) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Democracy at Home (DA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Our Party (PN) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?Yes won
- Will Respect Moldova Movement (MRM) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
- Will Together (BeÎ) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.