World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ead08042fd3b159b252ed8accfd548809fa260f2f40eddf2ae75e37f9df105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 31c | 3,996$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 72c | 3,995$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7d…a6dcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,978$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…e8e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,744$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 66c | 3,065$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6fc1backed Yes | 1c | 3,046$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…df13backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…abafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,997$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…58a4backed Yes | 23c | 1,925$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,658$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 66c | 1,527$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.56 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,047$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…0508backed Yes | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…24eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…5fd0backed Yes | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 16c | 992$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 983.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 900$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdf…343abacked Yes | 2c | 868.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 31c | 817.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…d9c3backed Yes | 34c | 758.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 80c | 746$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 20c | 746$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 71c | 723.27$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…f5cdbacked Yes | 4c | 705$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…a201backed Yes | 30c | 676.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 619.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…4659backed Yes | 29c | 607.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 29c | 606.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 19c | 586.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…cf87backed Yes | 34c | 511.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9f93backed Yes | 4c | 484.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 3c | 470.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes | 24c | 434.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 3c | 418.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e00backed Yes | 24c | 409.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 22c | 408.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Yes | 10c | 404.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 21c | 307.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 303.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…06cebacked Yes | 5c | 301.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…b01abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 31c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 53c | 222$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…ecd4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d6b1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…2080backed Yes | 20c | 197.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…f920backed Yes | 32c | 194.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…a39cbacked Yes | 27c | 183.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 63c | 171.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 158.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 154.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 28c | 151.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 36c | 129.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 31c | 127.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 63c | 114.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 67c | 103.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…035abacked No | 54c | 102.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 36c | 100.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 16c | 100.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 94.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 64c | 93.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 81.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…9786backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…6a8abacked Yes | 27c | 75.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…88c6backed Yes | 31c | 73.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…9c55backed Yes | 36c | 68.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…35d2backed Yes | 25c | 66.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…ccb4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…c226backed Yes | 43c | 56.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…55c4backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 51.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…f791backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…cfcdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…3f04backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…99f9backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…901bbacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…cc57backed Yes | 36c | 45.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 43.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…e964backed Yes | 36c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…8699backed Yes | 37c | 40.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…3f70backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 69c | 36.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.