World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfadf718784df562c5a3b5022fd37586b960b4b76a0789df74eb9b3bf653817c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 0c | 21,251$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 7c | 5,035$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…3878backed Yes | 1c | 4,572$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…1a79backed Yes | 9c | 2,202$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601c…e34fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,767$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…ebaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,404$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…fd1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,252$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6fc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…00d8backed Yes | 8c | 1,182$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…ee60backed Yes | 10c | 1,155$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…e10fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,143$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…e8e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…d248backed Yes | 10c | 1,107$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…9219backed Yes | 8c | 1,093$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…9781backed Yes | 10c | 1,083$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1b84backed Yes | 10c | 1,044$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…658cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,017$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…fbaebacked Yes | 8c | 1,007$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 996.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9a…55dbbacked Yes | 8c | 959$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 16c | 909$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…3ef2backed Yes | 8c | 906$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 10c | 904.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes | 16c | 880$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…2e9fbacked Yes | 10c | 865$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 16c | 841$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…3a03backed Yes | 10c | 824$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 760.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…f375backed Yes | 8c | 639$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 9c | 613.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6e…1ce2backed Yes | 8c | 597$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…4abfbacked Yes | 10c | 595$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e00backed Yes | 18c | 546.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 6c | 536.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 446.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…6a4fbacked Yes | 6c | 392.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…4438backed Yes | 8c | 390$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f2…037ebacked Yes | 8c | 368$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9f93backed Yes | 6c | 363.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…d05dbacked Yes | 8c | 353$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d6b1backed Yes | 5c | 313.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…e2b7backed Yes | 8c | 309.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…1c9bbacked Yes | 16c | 308.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 9c | 308$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…3f70backed Yes | 9c | 280.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 5c | 277.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 12c | 254$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…91b6backed Yes | 8c | 254$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 5c | 220.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 210.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…8d7bbacked Yes | 7c | 210.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746b…f3e7backed Yes | 8c | 207.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…f8fabacked Yes | 8c | 196.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…f6fabacked Yes | 8c | 191.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked Yes | 10c | 179.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 15c | 169.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…4659backed Yes | 6c | 169.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…035abacked Yes | 10c | 167.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed Yes | 7c | 162$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 7c | 154.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 15c | 153.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…6a8abacked Yes | 21c | 145.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e9…f158backed Yes | 12c | 106.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…74cbbacked Yes | 49c | 100.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 53c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.