World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b9703e797f1364a2e581a1fc5566e0b9f57df966b523225e7c306b8b5466d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58a1…9030backed Yes | 14c | 21,085$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 2c | 19,949$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 20c | 19,005$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 5c | 13,727$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…5fe5backed Yes | 22c | 9,332$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…f0f1backed Yes | 67c | 7,050$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 48c | 6,772$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.07 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…a87bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,486$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 28c | 5,899$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 76c | 5,277$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 19c | 4,934$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0146backed Yes | 9c | 4,772$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 53c | 4,500$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…2200backed Yes | 56c | 4,157$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 28c | 3,743$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 8c | 3,693$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9745…efe5backed Yes | 54c | 3,670$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 5c | 3,629$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9d1dbacked Yes | 55c | 3,550$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 43c | 3,468$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5187…aa17backed Yes | 30c | 3,369$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 22c | 3,206$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 27c | 2,820$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.43 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked Yes | 6c | 2,699$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 36c | 2,550$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.51 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 11c | 2,491$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…5e32backed Yes | 17c | 2,490$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 2,450$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb6…b74bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,417$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 39c | 2,371$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 13c | 2,346$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed Yes | 58c | 2,321$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed Yes | 13c | 2,316$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,315$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 30c | 2,256$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf506…67f8backed Yes | 7c | 2,190$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…df13backed No | 79c | 2,155$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…e8e3backed Yes | 9c | 2,129$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 60c | 2,086$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.14 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 80c | 2,032$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.32 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,986$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,904$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,783$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 67c | 1,490$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked No | 41c | 1,471$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…346cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,467$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,457$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 1,415$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.63 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…c962backed Yes | 26c | 1,377$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,304$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,227$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed No | 33c | 1,200$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…f35cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,193$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 15c | 1,172$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…0a87backed Yes | 6c | 1,163$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…609abacked Yes | 4c | 1,091$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed Yes | 4c | 1,035$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 1,031$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738c…6ef8backed Yes | 10c | 1,020$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…485cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,008$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3295backed Yes | 6c | 986.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +169%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…e1c1backed Yes | 17c | 979.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…5587backed Yes | 32c | 947.4$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 61c | 943.56$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.42 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 9c | 930.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd4…2f17backed Yes | 2c | 908.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 25c | 908.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 15c | 874.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…c7d5backed Yes | 3c | 853.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Yes | 70c | 849.24$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…99abbacked Yes | 17c | 847.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…c518backed Yes | 22c | 845.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed No | 36c | 836.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 14c | 802.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…3e01backed Yes | 31c | 781.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…892abacked No | 43c | 768.85$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…55c4backed Yes | 31c | 761.53$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…6693backed Yes | 13c | 752.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed No | 67c | 749.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…90a4backed Yes | 10c | 748.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…eaf8backed Yes | 7c | 744.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…3890backed Yes | 5c | 743.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 71c | 740.55$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.29 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 19c | 732.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 38c | 728.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.81 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked No | 63c | 711.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 46c | 700.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.47 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 10c | 700$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…26d1backed Yes | 62c | 692.91$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…c51dbacked Yes | 70c | 690.45$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…0508backed Yes | 56c | 684.75$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 6c | 675.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…3ffcbacked Yes | 9c | 625.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 77c | 607.77$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 65c | 600$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.14 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 66c | 597.96$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.