World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ba14f564299cf961b9ed3775f5fed4a64dc3e25b9a4e2b5994844960aa0fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe787…a4f4backed Yes | 25c | 10,071$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 67c | 7,293$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.92 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 21c | 5,966$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 74c | 4,775$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 33c | 3,589$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.79 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 23c | 3,486$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 78c | 3,445$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.06 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 21c | 2,978$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.85 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…45b4backed Yes | 75c | 2,947$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,908$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…a87bbacked No | 4c | 2,558$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 2,253$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 8c | 2,189$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…aabbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,100$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 2,100$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.59 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked No | 60c | 2,004$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9745…efe5backed Yes | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed No | 12c | 1,764$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0146backed Yes | 16c | 1,686$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…fbb7backed Yes | 34c | 1,680$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 8c | 1,642$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 10c | 1,594$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 11c | 1,589$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 24c | 1,550$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 4c | 1,530$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…1484backed Yes | 78c | 1,514$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,405$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 23c | 1,241$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…a57cbacked No | 3c | 1,225$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,199$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.77 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,173$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…c962backed Yes | 32c | 1,033$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 18c | 1,012$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 40c | 1,011$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 42c | 934.01$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.19 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 7c | 900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 72c | 883.63$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…0508backed Yes | 30c | 827.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…f1acbacked Yes | 49c | 822.72$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 29c | 796.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.03 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 77c | 787.94$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 20c | 773.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.54 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 745.19$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 11c | 714$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 667.18$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…5fd0backed Yes | 15c | 663.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…cdc6backed No | 2c | 652.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…9f12backed Yes | 36c | 645.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…c518backed Yes | 30c | 629.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 16c | 603.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.81 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed Yes | 31c | 574.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 34c | 550$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…f920backed Yes | 19c | 527.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…3489backed Yes | 47c | 526.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…c7d5backed No | 4c | 525.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…3403backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 22c | 494.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked No | 10c | 426.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…2babbacked Yes | 24c | 416$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349b…2040backed Yes | 24c | 416$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…b028backed Yes | 24c | 416$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 3c | 412.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 33c | 401.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 57c | 399.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…75c6backed Yes | 24c | 396$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…26ccbacked Yes | 43c | 383.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 3c | 379.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…b01abacked Yes | 37c | 374.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked No | 18c | 368.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…b249backed No | 7c | 363.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 63c | 359.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 72c | 351.14$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…d58fbacked Yes | 19c | 320.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 71c | 315.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…254bbacked Yes | 49c | 311.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 13c | 299.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…5b18backed Yes | 34c | 290.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes | 46c | 279.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 72c | 278.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…54a4backed Yes | 24c | 277$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…6189backed Yes | 14c | 265.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +625%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Yes | 14c | 235$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d7…0ffebacked Yes | 58c | 226.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 25c | 217.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…206bbacked No | 76c | 217$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 12c | 216.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…95c3backed Yes | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 37c | 204.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 46c | 194.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.