Middle East · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb582fa41361aa4c9faea522e821cf0ec09783594fca42ef6c8aceb14445eafec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 22c | 28,959$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.11 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 2c | 10,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 46c | 9,433$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.56 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,271$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.73 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed No | 18c | 5,643$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.79 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…55a2backed No | 21c | 5,556$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 74c | 4,726$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.55 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed No | 13c | 4,415$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 74c | 4,110$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 26c | 3,361$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.38 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,950$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 48c | 2,860$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.52 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes | 71c | 2,797$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.47 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 79c | 2,600$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 45c | 2,547$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.62 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 13c | 2,337$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…340dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,300$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 28c | 2,186$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.38 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 44c | 2,111$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,111$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.47 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 77c | 2,101$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.94 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 45c | 2,025$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.69 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,993$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.57 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 26c | 1,990$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 32c | 1,958$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.44 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…3debbacked No | 33c | 1,956$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.07 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 39c | 1,942$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.33 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 22c | 1,890$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.58 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 53c | 1,850$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…7bfbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,827$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…83c7backed No | 18c | 1,811$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 42c | 1,733$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked No | 13c | 1,726$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 59c | 1,625$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.81 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 78c | 1,600$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.49 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 51c | 1,518$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 50c | 1,516$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 56c | 1,516$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.09 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 31c | 1,489$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.89 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 14c | 1,480$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed Yes | 80c | 1,380$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 31c | 1,353$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.02 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b5c6backed Yes | 65c | 1,262$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 20c | 1,221$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.58 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 1,166$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.7 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 46c | 1,144$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.14 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 72c | 1,143$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.08 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,141$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed No | 24c | 1,126$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,109$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 40c | 1,105$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.58 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.93 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…32fbbacked No | 79c | 1,066$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…f70abacked Yes | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked No | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 29c | 1,010$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed6…b4b4backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 46c | 999.98$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 52c | 986$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 48c | 986$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 42c | 982$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 58c | 982$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 17c | 946.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 17c | 942.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 52c | 930.1$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 77c | 914.59$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 52c | 908$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 883.83$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.81 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 873.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.64 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 68c | 869.59$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.53 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8a…1f85backed Yes | 62c | 857.58$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 49c | 854$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 66c | 837.79$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked No | 49c | 832$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…beb5backed Yes | 67c | 812.53$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Yes | 67c | 801.44$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 69c | 800$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…effabacked Yes | 64c | 779.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 48c | 758$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…7328backed Yes | 74c | 752.77$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 52c | 751$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked No | 46c | 748$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…2d6fbacked Yes | 74c | 727.65$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 48c | 727$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 59c | 720$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 72c | 714.39$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 15c | 700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 54c | 696$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 684.26$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.06 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 58c | 668$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 76c | 659.92$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 54c | 655$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed No | 32c | 652.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 67c | 627.87$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?this page
- Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.