Middle East · resolved market
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee699de4568d63c92a334dd9703fbd99ac0f614e5b7ffcc58f09557c86f08cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 9c | 7,747$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.13 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…91b6backed No | 27c | 3,853$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 8c | 3,654$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.33 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed No | 10c | 2,855$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 5c | 2,815$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 2,150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,714$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.84 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed No | 14c | 1,597$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 40c | 1,523$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,380$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 6c | 1,306$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 25c | 1,305$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.35 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,225$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.95 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 43c | 1,220$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.7 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…83c7backed No | 10c | 1,068$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.31 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 18c | 921.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…3debbacked No | 5c | 877.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 35c | 754.21$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 20c | 714.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed No | 17c | 665.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 629.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 66c | 594.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 32c | 531.09$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 464$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 14c | 434.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked No | 24c | 408.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 407.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed No | 40c | 392.68$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…27bfbacked Yes | 78c | 379.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 17c | 279.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…91e5backed No | 24c | 266.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -7.0wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Yes | 55c | 256.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 72c | 230$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 22c | 205.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 6c | 204.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 58c | 201$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 16c | 198$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 22c | 162.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 162$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 58c | 152.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked No | 10c | 150.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 56c | 136.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 12c | 134.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 16c | 134.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 77c | 125.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 121.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 6.1%8 W · 123 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed No | 13c | 108.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…a2efbacked Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 35c | 105.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 13c | 103.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 147 | 15%22 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…6067backed Yes | 63c | 101.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 10c | 100.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…272fbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…1a7ebacked No | 13c | 82.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…d649backed No | 20c | 78.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 31c | 66.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 17c | 65.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 43c | 57.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 29c | 54.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 58c | 53.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…563cbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked No | 44c | 48.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 44c | 40.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 69c | 37.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 76c | 28.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…6d9cbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?this page
- Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.