Middle East · resolved market
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67e9887876cf34d3b930c3c74ba444b77783e3a4b8a3fe5304dd3c2b6d09a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked No | 0c | 6,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed No | 0c | 4,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed No | 8c | 3,759$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.91 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 12c | 3,442$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.04 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 2c | 3,236$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…83c7backed No | 8c | 2,445$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…3debbacked No | 6c | 2,260$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 5c | 2,252$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 3c | 1,736$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 58c | 1,617$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.65 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed No | 7c | 1,458$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 1,230$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,224$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked No | 6c | 884.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +385.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 866.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 19c | 846.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 4c | 826.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 7c | 811.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 10c | 799.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 26c | 786.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked No | 4c | 780$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 7c | 777.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…55a2backed No | 16c | 776.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 9c | 718$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6ebbbacked No | 5c | 608.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 540$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 73c | 524.82$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed No | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed No | 42c | 482.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 419.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed No | 7c | 298.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 18c | 293.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked No | 7c | 275.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 9c | 262$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 5c | 229.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed No | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 10c | 196.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 179.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 19c | 175.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 24c | 158.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…1a7ebacked No | 12c | 127.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…197abacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?this page
- Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.