Middle East · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce2da6193ffc43d329fe5bb3e895fb7c0019e37b09c6778e7442c91c32b6f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 75c | 18,152$13,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.82 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 13c | 13,548$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.47 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 14c | 11,551$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.26 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 10,569$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.55 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…340dbacked Yes | 15c | 7,500$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 20c | 5,008$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.1 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 75c | 3,967$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.13 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 18c | 3,900$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.76 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 19c | 3,610$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 18c | 3,604$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.26 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…b1d1backed Yes | 13c | 3,490$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.66 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 52c | 3,152$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.96 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 19c | 3,013$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.9 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…1d82backed Yes | 3c | 2,906$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 13c | 2,858$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.45 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 38c | 2,440$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.9 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 2,401$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 23c | 2,395$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 74c | 2,350$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 76c | 2,205$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.29 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…017abacked Yes | 21c | 2,058$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 15c | 2,018$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 78c | 1,937$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.33 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,933$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 78c | 1,876$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.86 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 54c | 1,871$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 17c | 1,854$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3285backed Yes | 21c | 1,616$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…194ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,497$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 78c | 1,446$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…28e4backed Yes | 16c | 1,436$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 19c | 1,401$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 12c | 1,361$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 14c | 1,349$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…0c8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,341$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…558ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,074$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…4438backed Yes | 18c | 1,026$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 23c | 1,022$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,016$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a87…9b0dbacked Yes | 18c | 985.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 32c | 974.52$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…86abbacked Yes | 13c | 918.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked Yes | 16c | 912$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…1a76backed Yes | 33c | 906.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 21c | 900$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 15c | 891$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes | 22c | 866.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 15c | 861$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 74c | 856$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…70c6backed Yes | 25c | 852.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 30c | 852$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 15c | 841$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…c345backed Yes | 15c | 836$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 70c | 833$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 70c | 826$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 47c | 814.88$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 30c | 807$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…69e3backed Yes | 21c | 780$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 18c | 739.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…d78bbacked Yes | 15c | 713$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…fda6backed Yes | 12c | 700$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 15c | 697.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed Yes | 17c | 648$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 17c | 647$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a4…d6a0backed Yes | 12c | 637.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…d693backed Yes | 8c | 623$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +180.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed No | 74c | 616$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Yes | 28c | 612$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 17c | 611$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 78c | 604$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked Yes | 22c | 604$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…69e0backed Yes | 17c | 597.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 11c | 559.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 26c | 541$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 26c | 527$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 26c | 515$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…2d48backed Yes | 18c | 509.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…8aeebacked Yes | 21c | 469.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Yes | 9c | 429.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 7c | 420$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 33c | 415.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 11c | 397.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 393.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…1b4cbacked Yes | 35c | 389.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 19c | 356.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…4defbacked Yes | 14c | 356.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 15c | 356$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…beb5backed Yes | 14c | 354.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…19b6backed Yes | 13c | 342.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 6c | 340.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 77c | 323.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed Yes | 13c | 314.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…ee44backed Yes | 28c | 311.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 28c | 290.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…e2e5backed No | 77c | 285.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?this page
- Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?No won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.