TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,299,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,241,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,299,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 856 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes50c41,914$21,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,800.0116125.5%41 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ab…3eb5backed No8c36,500$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.0922627.9%63 W · 163 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5882…55a2backed No20c20,372$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbe…a4dfbacked No24c19,739$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.771631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+127.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No44c17,831$7,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,820.516831%52 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf534…0a67backed Yes54c17,000$9,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,790.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes40c16,499$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,932.0511859.3%70 W · 48 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa65c…7997backed Yes40c15,924$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,626.874450%22 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba85…d4e9backed No35c14,600$5,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes24c14,127$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,775.640433.7%136 W · 268 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e1…aa05backed No29c14,000$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.954017.5%7 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No27c13,898$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.883461.8%21 W · 13 L+8.4wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+48%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed No32c13,558$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.8335631.7%113 W · 243 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No1c13,229$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.522742.9%8 W · 266 L+0.5wins0.00per pick3cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked No28c12,606$3,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5382437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d5…c665backed Yes75c12,069$9,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.334057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Yes66c11,369$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.2210639.6%42 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No62c11,309$6,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,981.5935355.5%196 W · 157 L+36.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No39c11,285$4,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,357.9347334%161 W · 312 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c4…c488backed No70c11,070$7,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,793.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f83…643fbacked No8c10,956$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.743023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes63c10,062$6,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.614332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x466a…c444backed No11c9,391$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.594820.8%10 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd726…b5c9backed Yes38c8,810$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.153161.3%19 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.29per pick33cpaid+97.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes44c8,699$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.1919119.9%38 W · 153 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5464…af99backed No46c8,243$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.176533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes73c8,137$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.166165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9351…9e4dbacked Yes66c7,982$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed No43c7,522$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.5438247.6%182 W · 200 L+37.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf963…340dbacked Yes38c7,500$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes80c7,373$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.69647.9%46 W · 50 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed No25c7,288$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.384738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes36c7,187$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.559335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb8…0782backed No42c7,147$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…879ebacked Yes31c7,110$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.3913650%68 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e0f…9556backed Yes46c7,078$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes65c6,836$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Yes48c6,595$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.5111527%31 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes64c6,464$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.625056%28 W · 22 L+9.1wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+138.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb50…257dbacked No8c6,436$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+81.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Yes43c6,204$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.9611833.9%40 W · 78 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes32c6,173$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.8512634.9%44 W · 82 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a4d…dcadbacked No23c6,038$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.11560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No37c5,951$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.3621726.7%58 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No28c5,601$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.05728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…0760backed No61c5,456$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.179443.6%41 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes43c5,440$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.897631.6%24 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…9402backed Yes11c5,391$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.794216.7%7 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No33c5,389$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.627643.5%120 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff8…5fd6backed Yes32c5,337$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.481838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+144.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No43c4,954$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.978339.8%33 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2940…304cbacked No40c4,817$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.4816131.7%51 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af4…0597backed No29c4,640$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3521050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed No60c4,640$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.226942%29 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…8354backed No20c4,350$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.86550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10a…ab03backed No19c4,079$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff99…5602backed No35c4,019$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3884959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed No76c4,000$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.381526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd352…c465backed Yes4c3,881$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7181100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,281%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…4883backed Yes4c3,763$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.91100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,250.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes59c3,717$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.0715347.1%72 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes34c3,639$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.6911222.3%25 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed No25c3,616$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0714228.2%40 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked No31c3,586$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.5210327.2%28 W · 75 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…c522backed Yes65c3,344$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.81050%5 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+69.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked No8c3,324$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.535158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x526e…7c43backed No21c3,321$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2637…26e1backed Yes33c3,316$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.66338.1%24 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes27c3,306$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.797229.2%21 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47ae…ee94backed Yes62c3,272$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.39749.5%48 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279c…2b82backed No62c3,272$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.896755.2%37 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3437…f8f3backed No70c3,261$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.9315953.5%85 W · 74 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes7c3,223$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.9828734.5%99 W · 188 L+21.3wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0482…6b0abacked No34c3,174$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.8321525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes30c3,077$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.065536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…c5f0backed No39c3,042$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.353234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked No23c3,019$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.5610913.8%15 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes66c2,960$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.556100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+162.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc83…bcd2backed Yes56c2,940$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed No4c2,929$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.687856.4%44 W · 34 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+75.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9453…1a48backed Yes78c2,924$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8113246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes43c2,885$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.9922227%60 W · 162 L+17.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes77c2,874$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.342466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes73c2,752$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.0425339.5%100 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…dbbfbacked No51c2,751$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.4110141.6%42 W · 59 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes70c2,737$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.3610747.7%51 W · 56 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes30c2,707$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.0117740.7%72 W · 105 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08bb…0385backed Yes4c2,677$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.051100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,426.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…c19dbacked Yes39c2,675$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes50c2,673$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.6710045%45 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d3f…fec2backed No37c2,632$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x388f…f828backed Yes8c2,627$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02b8…3debbacked No27c2,617$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.963831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes60c2,568$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6942329.1%123 W · 300 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked No74c2,529$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.354341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes30c2,513$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.435731.6%18 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes78c2,500$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.74748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fa…1a63backed No15c2,457$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.97529.3%22 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked No61c2,409$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.492045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4c…bc78backed Yes58c2,407$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+131.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.