Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa374f4c047b99a8e2950783b7306c2a8c313fb88d98ae2c1ea0efb58231c3250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $811,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6baf…94c5backed Yes | 18c | 82,276$15,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,186.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +614.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…1830backed Yes | 62c | 64,273$40,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,247.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked No | 0c | 60,613$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 17c | 36,007$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 41c | 34,042$13,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,912.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 79c | 26,023$20,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 38c | 24,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 50c | 21,132$10,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,632.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…9c08backed Yes | 27c | 18,392$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,461.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af5bbacked No | 1c | 16,973$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 16,904$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 66c | 15,656$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…f66bbacked No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 53c | 14,286$7,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,583.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfd…f0b5backed No | 0c | 11,472$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 20c | 10,066$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 50c | 9,768$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 48c | 9,218$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 16c | 8,939$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +451.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 7c | 8,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 11c | 8,410$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…4099backed Yes | 14c | 7,213$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…43c6backed Yes | 17c | 7,086$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +316.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 29c | 6,598$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 15c | 6,467$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +551.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 11c | 5,913$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.53 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 48c | 5,823$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,500$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…1bd3backed No | 78c | 4,643$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 13c | 4,285$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…a517backed No | 79c | 4,196$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 3,911$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.33 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…4122backed No | 78c | 3,695$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…7708backed No | 77c | 3,655$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 24c | 3,579$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 23c | 3,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 74c | 3,285$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 19c | 3,093$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b22backed Yes | 15c | 3,025$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 16c | 2,966$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 68c | 2,959$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,936$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 56c | 2,634$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 15c | 2,472$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 37c | 2,078$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe543…8973backed Yes | 17c | 2,065$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 12c | 2,063$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +899.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,032$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 42c | 2,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…9484backed Yes | 12c | 1,981$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…d16dbacked No | 27c | 1,917$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,912$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,893$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 13c | 1,810$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…ff7bbacked No | 72c | 1,786$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 13c | 1,755$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 80c | 1,720$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 35c | 1,709$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 72c | 1,662$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…8be2backed Yes | 58c | 1,632$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes | 9c | 1,457$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 44c | 1,428$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…06fdbacked No | 32c | 1,404$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 1,394$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,286$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.95 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…be35backed Yes | 27c | 1,239$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…4511backed Yes | 27c | 1,236$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0b…e18dbacked No | 74c | 1,171$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…c5e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,160$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed Yes | 22c | 1,139$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 9c | 1,090$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 6cpaid | +354.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 57c | 1,090$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,043$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.54 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed Yes | 60c | 1,010$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,001$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…8634backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…3c5bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +718.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 55c | 999.99$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 72c | 993.73$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.74 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked Yes | 76c | 985.03$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?this page
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No won
- Maduro out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.