Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d8c59309811ce5618ea941f9bde2a96afa5d876a69c42fba2da4bcc56d3c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,793,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,007,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,793,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,958 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44de…9c08backed Yes | 38c | 312,932$120,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,535.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 45c | 125,108$56,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,698.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 34c | 115,531$39,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,187.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 62c | 70,931$43,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,830.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 57c | 65,288$37,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,010.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 18c | 61,083$10,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,752.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 63c | 55,489$35,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,201.46 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 57c | 53,745$30,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,754.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 68c | 51,503$34,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,656.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 67c | 50,091$33,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,379.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 16c | 48,307$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…3283backed No | 0c | 45,996$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed No | 64c | 43,451$27,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,962.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 15c | 39,289$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 63c | 37,744$23,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,793.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 26c | 36,199$9,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,962.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…a92abacked Yes | 40c | 35,437$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,436.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 58c | 34,237$19,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,869.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 34c | 32,558$11,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,501.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 38c | 32,332$12,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,061.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 62c | 31,263$19,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,350.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 65c | 30,949$20,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,103 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 42c | 30,900$12,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,936.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 64c | 29,498$18,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,957.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 19c | 28,845$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,375.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +451.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 41c | 26,522$10,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,553.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…3c12backed No | 74c | 26,000$19,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 65c | 25,568$16,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,530.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked No | 54c | 23,850$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 60c | 23,847$14,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,335.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 37c | 22,927$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,426.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 60c | 21,153$12,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,718.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 66c | 20,993$13,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,829.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 35c | 20,484$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,414.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 34c | 20,455$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,554.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 61c | 20,000$12,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…9b0bbacked Yes | 39c | 19,897$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,043.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 63c | 19,554$12,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,324.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 41c | 19,423$7,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,494.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 62c | 19,421$12,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,073.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 65c | 19,314$12,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,549.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…c8b5backed Yes | 36c | 18,178$6,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,601.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 72c | 18,000$12,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,880 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 52c | 17,522$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 51c | 17,230$8,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,736.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 66c | 17,200$11,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,882.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked No | 64c | 17,147$10,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 63c | 17,092$10,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,699.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…ca8ebacked Yes | 36c | 16,511$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,617.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…c531backed Yes | 47c | 15,733$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,332.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 33c | 15,600$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,416.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 0c | 15,091$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 49c | 14,851$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 14,632$8,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,832.45 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…3800backed Yes | 38c | 14,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +343.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 62c | 13,697$8,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 45c | 13,655$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 38c | 13,351$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,273.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 38c | 13,058$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,057.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 35c | 13,010$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 72c | 12,905$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 61c | 12,618$7,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,757.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…704fbacked Yes | 35c | 11,800$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 58c | 11,605$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 44c | 11,125$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…7d7fbacked Yes | 34c | 10,796$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…711dbacked No | 58c | 10,785$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 62c | 10,427$6,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…6b12backed Yes | 36c | 10,410$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,711.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 29c | 10,244$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…7708backed No | 64c | 9,909$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,337.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked No | 57c | 9,383$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 1c | 9,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 55c | 9,277$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 60c | 9,172$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 65c | 9,160$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.72 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 61c | 9,143$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…8f8dbacked No | 64c | 8,942$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 37c | 8,932$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 62c | 8,906$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,486.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…b877backed Yes | 45c | 8,886$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…42e2backed No | 63c | 8,740$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…f4a5backed No | 64c | 8,605$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 59c | 8,569$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 37c | 8,543$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 47c | 8,514$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 33c | 8,449$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 61c | 8,296$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…cf7cbacked Yes | 34c | 8,212$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…905abacked No | 64c | 8,116$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 64c | 8,108$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 65c | 7,996$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked No | 63c | 7,876$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 33c | 7,875$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 35c | 7,850$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…7ba6backed Yes | 35c | 7,843$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 0c | 7,785$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…571dbacked No | 64c | 7,563$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?this page
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No won
- Maduro out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.