Stocks · resolved market
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849b2a8c0881ef606feb8fb39e325ae388385db62ec1bcf32f6b65e79ebcbf47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…463bbacked Yes | 16c | 15,371$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 55c | 14,359$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.04 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…4b67backed Yes | 2c | 10,725$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 9,339$6,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.27 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 26c | 7,615$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,366$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…c8fcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 5,800$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 41c | 5,756$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89aa…4793backed Yes | 1c | 4,792$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 15c | 4,760$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.94 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,406$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed No | 35c | 4,270$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 72c | 3,992$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,469$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,134$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 34c | 3,128$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 3,074$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +94%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…747cbacked No | 77c | 2,588$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…5993backed Yes | 1c | 2,280$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…43e2backed No | 74c | 2,096$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 2,036$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.86 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 28c | 1,953$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…0796backed Yes | 7c | 1,921$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 60c | 1,916$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…9166backed No | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,887$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebef…8731backed Yes | 4c | 1,854$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 39c | 1,746$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,742$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5034…c716backed Yes | 2c | 1,734$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…e705backed Yes | 4c | 1,605$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,487$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 74c | 1,336$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes | 13c | 1,309$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,243$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 39c | 1,206$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 1,201$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 36c | 1,143$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 59c | 1,116$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…b796backed No | 59c | 1,105$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…4ea2backed Yes | 9c | 1,081$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,045$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,004$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…2f4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 967.94$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 60c | 967.46$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…80c0backed Yes | 16c | 933.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e131backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 11c | 892.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 888.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 33c | 843.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes | 2c | 821.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…7030backed Yes | 3c | 804$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 25c | 792$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 788.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 1c | 742.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…c962backed No | 72c | 728.1$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 713$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…005dbacked No | 71c | 703.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 78c | 682.44$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…4cb4backed Yes | 8c | 662.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…1fd0backed No | 69c | 650.29$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 73c | 639.46$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 75c | 610.83$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…a4d2backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 71c | 580$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…2f91backed Yes | 8c | 570.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…f638backed Yes | 5c | 564.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…ac44backed No | 24c | 539.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 6c | 528.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…45d3backed Yes | 40c | 495.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…381bbacked No | 80c | 480.54$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 6c | 478.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 18cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…49dabacked Yes | 79c | 474.71$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 70c | 455.03$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…db6abacked Yes | 44c | 451.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 54c | 450.28$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…3ad5backed No | 77c | 440.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c97ebacked No | 31c | 436.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 28c | 436.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 422.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 27c | 406.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 14c | 396.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…6fe3backed No | 72c | 369.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked No | 64c | 357.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 53c | 356.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…178fbacked Yes | 28c | 356.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked No | 52c | 356.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 345.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 50c | 337.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734c…1d86backed No | 60c | 336.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed Yes | 40c | 333.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?this page
- S&P 500 all time high by February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.