TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f3f…64a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+1,923.3%+$384.66
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,301.1%+$845.71
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
DR Congo to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.