NHL · resolved market
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de846b4c47cfc17cafad7595a90c3244ba3170c13ad14373e4a5ebe02f171e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 71c | 100,000$70,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,949.95 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 47c | 50,058$23,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,531.42 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 18c | 41,215$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,991.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 41c | 36,794$14,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,811.39 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 47c | 33,980$15,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,009.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 72c | 29,531$21,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,333.91 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 18c | 18,357$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,001.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 46c | 10,066$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.81 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 60c | 8,905$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 19c | 6,547$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 17c | 5,229$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.03 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…b670backed Yes | 36c | 5,015$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 32c | 4,816$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.43 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 34c | 4,669$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.85 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 34c | 4,473$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…8bf0backed Yes | 17c | 3,129$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 17c | 3,078$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.08 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…a559backed Yes | 19c | 2,700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 27c | 2,394$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 19c | 2,280$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 34c | 2,026$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 54c | 1,966$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes | 48c | 1,933$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…e5b9backed Yes | 12c | 1,894$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Yes | 19c | 1,844$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,831$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…4de6backed Yes | 22c | 1,457$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 47c | 1,346$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,324$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…cfb0backed Yes | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 1,188$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…6f6bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…ad5abacked Yes | 46c | 1,103$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +237.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,100$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,010$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 974.51$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 955.18$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 69c | 881.65$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 16c | 849.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes | 35c | 819.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…366ebacked Yes | 47c | 810$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 801.28$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Yes | 47c | 738.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…d07ebacked Yes | 16c | 677.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +318.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…659ebacked Yes | 33c | 658.55$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…e6e7backed Yes | 19c | 578.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +435.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked No | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…004dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 524.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 500.85$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4269…bd80backed Yes | 23c | 499.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 62c | 491$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 489.46$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 21c | 487.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 14c | 476.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 58c | 471.52$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed No | 62c | 470.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Yes | 21c | 467.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +374.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 6c | 439.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 48c | 416.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 18c | 382$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 33c | 375.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 74c | 360.57$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…b44bbacked Yes | 47c | 353.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…6c44backed Yes | 14c | 352.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +607.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…fbf6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…5143backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Yes | 48c | 308.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 19c | 307.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…6fb3backed No | 53c | 304.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 11c | 299.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 16c | 270.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.81 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed No | 54c | 263.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…38efbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…a381backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 22c | 248$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…5d1dbacked Yes | 21c | 237.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +138%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…7aacbacked Yes | 17c | 234.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes | 17c | 233.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…7cf1backed Yes | 50c | 219.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 48c | 216.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…9b97backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Yes | 47c | 209.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…27f3backed Yes | 45c | 208.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…8a0ebacked Yes | 10c | 205.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +928.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 53c | 199.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…3909backed Yes | 25c | 196.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 53c | 188.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…0f00backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…d005backed Yes | 17c | 186.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +478%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?this page
- Will Austria win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Slovenia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
- Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.