TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes48c26,827$12,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,947.141,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked No52c20,890$10,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,968.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Yes48c14,000$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,660.518845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes46c13,809$6,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,413.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No57c7,945$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.014252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No54c6,862$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.911656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes42c6,078$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.4299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No56c4,955$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.833056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…000fbacked No48c4,936$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes42c4,608$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.44358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No53c4,001$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed No52c3,950$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.73920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes5c3,950$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No53c3,848$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes45c3,816$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.831921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No56c3,671$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.734438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes43c3,142$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.039935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Yes45c2,700$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2135850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked No49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2756657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes44c2,493$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No75c2,433$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.7725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No56c2,237$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe725…e5b9backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31c…7830backed Yes43c1,550$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No63c1,336$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.61366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes55c1,318$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes48c1,254$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.928647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed No48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Yes47c1,232$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.442839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes42c1,212$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.483228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No50c1,208$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked No55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed No55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No50c1,083$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.629352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No52c1,015$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c1,015$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.083253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No59c1,012$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.927652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked No52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No53c955$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No54c845$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.451070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes34c772.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No49c766$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2c…80e5backed No51c744$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35038445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes21c647.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8310336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No54c637.65$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.51850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes51c637.41$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0825447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes44c624.04$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30474951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No57c590.7$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No48c589.28$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked No70c588.22$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.134254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed No45c554.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2313749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No53c547$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No45c533$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.15850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes45c527$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked No50c499.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9930845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No58c497.84$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked No51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes46c483$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3231448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes41c479.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.711,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes18c470$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+59.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes46c438.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No54c425$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No55c423.21$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013753.3%73 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No40c390.8$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.278339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed No50c390.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.541241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Yes52c386.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No53c372$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked Yes49c367$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No49c355.74$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No53c346$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No62c319.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No56c312.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.461747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No51c301.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa184…eaa4backed Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58f9…40cfbacked No43c300$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed No52c294.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes38c289.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81d…d908backed Yes42c285.7$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No54c259.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.044850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe091…163fbacked Yes47c254.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed No45c244$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.14911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-80.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No44c232$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No55c230.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Yes52c227.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No56c225$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a8…dd22backed Yes14c208.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…1a86backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…57ebbacked No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10897955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes38c197.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.