TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdafc…b670backed Yes38c20,121$7,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,715.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No50c11,260$5,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,596.554438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89e…2c31backed Yes54c8,922$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes35c6,617$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No72c6,163$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.911656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No46c5,957$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes18c5,229$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.6227445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe079…e93fbacked Yes47c4,247$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No74c4,193$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes4c3,550$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No62c3,034$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.3733837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1702236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes53c2,789$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.131442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40bb…9d46backed Yes54c2,560$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…3c48backed Yes16c2,422$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes56c2,359$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.625655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes15c2,260$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Yes54c2,029$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+110%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No74c1,952$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c1,926$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.041,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Yes19c1,830$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes12c1,700$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes43c1,662$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.971921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Yes23c1,539$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…a548backed Yes49c1,510$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No56c1,493$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No78c1,226$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3424949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No77c1,211$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No72c1,191$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No58c1,190$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes43c1,146$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Yes54c1,122$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed Yes18c1,120$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Yes18c1,114$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked No47c1,100$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Yes16c1,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No70c904.31$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.299251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No61c897.81$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.01850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No64c851.3$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes23c845.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.17038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No22c845$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.851070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dbc…1dd9backed Yes27c831.22$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No80c820.65$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.832356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes38c820.53$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a8…dd22backed Yes16c770.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes27c748.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No70c744.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.643056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc476…3909backed Yes26c620.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+85.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes54c601.85$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697a…4419backed Yes53c601.03$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes51c600$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92f…acacbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb22…710abacked Yes53c566$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…ea8fbacked Yes54c558.93$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86d…c09abacked Yes54c545.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes54c544.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes53c531.68$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.794358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe725…e5b9backed Yes11c524.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.741010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes47c502.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.375036%18 W · 32 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf680…1a86backed Yes29c500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Yes42c492.28$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.764254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No79c490.53$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.131546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No65c475.86$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No75c467.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0810456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No75c465.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.167664.5%49 W · 27 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Yes54c464.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c410.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.793253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No74c409.73$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06cc…76a2backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No64c360.14$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Yes12c356.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…eca7backed Yes17c352.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e9…aafdbacked Yes38c348.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No71c346$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x832e…64a8backed Yes54c314.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed No53c313.87$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.025354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce6…83f8backed Yes37c300.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Yes53c286.14$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No75c285$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.589935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No59c275.25$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…b58dbacked Yes41c268.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Yes18c262.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e5…6338backed No47c259.4$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No33c258.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.144850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No79c258$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes51c257.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.467652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81b…168abacked Yes48c256.62$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…5732backed Yes20c256.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes23c255.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…47fdbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x868d…b1f9backed Yes41c244.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4b…21c7backed Yes18c244.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13d0…5da3backed Yes54c241.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac80…9ccebacked Yes27c237.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b5…a34dbacked Yes15c232.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1246…785abacked Yes43c230.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcb…4790backed Yes69c218.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.